Live Thread - Hurricane Katrina, Part IV (Update: Now a Category 5 )

NOAA - NHC ^ | 27 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[JUMPIN JEHOSPOHAT]

This weekend she's at CANADIAN NATIONAL EXPO.

[Prophet in the wilderness]

Yup... was " BORN AGAIN " in 1984

[Miss Marple]

Woke up at 2 amd heard them saying it has been upgraded to a 4. I cannot believe the governor and mayor haven't ordered evacuation; it is too late now, if you ask me.

[Prophet in the wilderness]

Well, not really a image of a animal or human, but, a circle, like a outer band around the hurricane.

[cgk]

Thank you!

I can't decipher these images out here in EQ country.

[cgk]

I hope they all know how to swim!

[MSCASEY]

What did you see? I am just curious if we saw the same thing or something different! Prophet in the wilderness is seeing something different on the same picture.

Ms. Casey's Daughter

[BurbankKarl]

well, since it will take two months to pump out the city, and it will be filled with cotton mouths (water moccasins) in every corner...

[Tall_Texan]

"Senior Screen For Life Cancelled For Tomorrow" says the crawl. Gee, why worry about getting a disease if you're an elderly person living in New Orleans?

[RepublicanArmy]

Yes I am but probably not in as good a standing as many others lol...

[USAF0021]

The Great Hurricane of '38 that hit New England nicknamed "The Long Island Express" brought winds of over 180 mph to New England due to the great forward speed of the hurricane, estimated at 70 mph (the fastest known forward speed of a hurricane in history) Over 600 people died in the storm, mostly due to flooding in the storm surge, the storm pushed a great wall of water of up to 25 feet in parts ahead of it. Providence, RI was under 20 feet of water. This is the great danger of hurricanes moving up the east coast, the water temps are not as warm as near Florida or the Gulf of Mexico but they accelerate in forward speed when they get squeezed between the Bermuda High in the east and approaching frontal systems from the west.

[de Buillion]

I am glad to hear that- haven't seen her in a long time, always thought she was great, and a beautiful "spoof" on MSM, way before it gained prominence.

[Semper911]

looks like Elvira- MISTRESS OF THE DARK

So true. But I feel for these newspeople. How long are THEY planning on staying? And what is their plan for getting out?

[TomGuy]

Channel 6 reporting that N.O. mayor says he cannot call for a mandatory evac due to a legal technicality. He would order it, if he could.

[cgk]

And I thought tarantulas, rattlers & coyotes were bad.

Egad.

[Crazieman]

Great. Lawyers partly responsible for 9/11. Lawyers may be partly responsible for what could be a Katrina disaster.

[MSCASEY]

That is awesome! I wish you could see what I see. I printed it out and am going to keep a copy! When you asked your question I was not sure if we were seeing the same thing or not!

I am going to go get some sleep soon! I hope you are not in the area were this is headed!

Ms. Casey's Daughter

[Flux Capacitor]

News anchor on Ch. 6 was just discussing the problems inherent in evacuating high-rises -- "the problem of vertical ejaculation-- um, evacuation."

-Dan

[TomGuy]

Channel 6 reporting that N.O. mayor says he cannot call for a mandatory evac due to a legal technicality. He would order it, if he could.

News commentator clarified the reason in his live report: For the area mayors/officials to be able to declare a mandatory evac, they have to have a place to put people. [Since they don't have a place to put that many people, they are prohibited from making the declaration.]

[RepublicanArmy]

A face of some sort but not sure if thats good or bad. I can see where different ppl will see different things. Hope or tragedy comes to ppl in many different forms.

The image could tell some you shall be safe & tell others danger is upon you. Either way we shall learn our fate soon enough...