Seems to me neither McCain nor Guiliani will win the Republican nomination. Neither can assemble the core of the party: Conservatives.
I agree with you. For better or worse, that's how it is. Whether I would like it to be different or not is irrelevant.
A scary thought: although it's clear the Republicans have a majority in Congress, state governorships, etc., is is not at all clear that there is a CONSERVATIVE majority nationally. The number of northeastern Republicans and other RINOs are of course part of the Republican mix.
I think that by and large when the battle is over ideas and principles the conservatives win.
I am very fearful that a third party challenge, some other Republican split or a lacklusted candidate could hand the White House to Hillary Clinton.
We have to be prepared for a tough fight.
Bingo! You are the winner! When the SCOTUS ruled Oklahoma could continue its closed primary system this spring that meant the McCain/Rudy train had come to a screeching halt because it affected every State with a closed primary. Only way either of them could get the nomination is if they had open primaries.
Right now Oklahoma activists I know support Senator George Allen after our Convention this spring where he spoke. I made a contribution at the end of the June reporting period and a lot of Oklahomans I know did likewise. He can transfer his Senate campaign funds to his Presidential campaign so we are helping early. Have no doubt he is running for President in 2008 after the speech he gave us.
If anyone gets a chance to hear Senator Allen speak, please go -- he is a terrific speaker and personable person.
I believe Guiliani could, because from what I understand his core is more of a libertarian (which explains some of his socialy left issues).
What concerns me most about Guiliani is his stance on the second ammendment. I dont know if he passes the smell test on it. I have far greater concern over than that the other social issues.
Guiliani is a great leader. He is a far better leader than McCain or HRC would ever dream about being.