Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Next Stage of the Iraqi Civil War
Strategy Page ^ | February 11, 2005 | James Dunnigan

Posted on 06/05/2005 3:24:40 PM PDT by strategofr

The war in Iraq is a clash of cultures in ways that are often not reported. For example, the United States is very keen, compared to their opponents, on protecting the lives of its troops, and insuring their comfort. This means much effort and resources goes into building and staffing well protected camps.

American infantry are very well trained and equipped, by any standard, and when they leave these camps, they are ready to fight, and win, against any hostiles they encounter. But in order to keep the troops as safe as possible, they do not mingle with Iraqis in Sunni Arab areas.

This makes it difficult to break down cultural barriers, and establish better relations with the people, in those areas where the anti-government forces are most active. As a result of this, it is often reported that American troops are not able to find the hostile gunmen hiding among the people. This is not true, as U.S. intelligence forces are able to gather a great deal of information about which Iraqi groups are hostile, where their members are and what they are up to. Hundreds of raids are conducted by American troops each month, arresting thousands of terrorist suspects and seizing large quantities of weapons, documents and other materials.

But to most Iraqis, these American soldiers might as well be space aliens landing from another planet, and then departing back to their well protected bases. There is no easy solution for this problem, as the anti-government forces would kill any American troops they found wandering around Sunni Arab areas.

This did happen back in the Summer of '03, and U.S. troops were then restricted to their bases when off duty. This was not the case for American troops in Shia Arab and Kurdish areas, but the majority of U.S. forces are in Sunni Arab central Iraq, where most of the resistance and fighting is being done.

As the U.S. gets more people into Iraq that speak Arabic, and develop a larger number of trustworthy local translators, more Americans become aware of how much corruption is practiced in the area. This is one aspect of Iraqi culture that no one really wants to talk about. For one thing, there are real cultural differences over exactly what is corruption and what isn't.

In Iraq, it is considered perfectly understandable, and permissible, to take care of your family, clan and tribe by handing out jobs to these people. Stealing money is still stealing, but there's more tolerance for it in Iraq, especially if the thief shares the booty. Saddam Hussein was an expert practitioner of this, using cash and goodies to maintain loyalty, or simply placate potential opponents.

Americans have a problem with this, while most other nations on the planet do not. When the United States sought to impose honest business practices worldwide in the last several decades, it was discovered that major trading partners, like Germany and Japan, had no laws against many practices considered corrupt in America.

For example, until recently, insider trading (of stocks) was legal in Germany. Many forms of political contributions that are allowed in Japan, are considered corruption in the United States. Iraq, and Arab nations in general, are even father away from the United States in terms of what practices are corrupt, and which are not. Arabs are bemused as how excited Americans get over these issues.

Iraqis do not consider the corruption all that great a problem. Iraqis note that there is much corruption in Jordan and Kuwait, two long time allies of the United States. So what's the big deal in Iraq?

The problem is that, in Jordan and Kuwait, there is not an armed and hostile minority trying to overthrow the government with violence and terrorism. Jordan did have such a problem back in the 1970s, with Palestinian refugees. But a short, sharp, war was fought with the hostile Palestinians, who were driven out of the country. This was possible because the Palestinians were considered foreigners, while in Iraq, the Sunni Arabs are very much natives.

Most Iraqis believe that, once the elections are held, and Shia Arabs and Kurds are in charge, the new government will create sufficient security forces to defeat the Sunni Arabs.

This raises another "difference" issue. While Iraqis get indignant over the Abu Ghraib prisoner abuse issue, many privately thought that the Sunni Arab prisoners got off easy, that in Saddam's day, they would have been killed or mutilated, not just humiliated. It is feared that once the Iraqi security forces are able to deal with the Sunni Arab terrorists, it will be done in a particularly brutal fashion.

Such brutality is common in the region, and considered a proper approach because such brutality is part payback, and part intimidation to discourage continued resistance. This spotlights another cultural difference. Iraqis hold Westerners to a higher standard of behavior than they do themselves.

Part of this is gamesmanship. Iraqis note the higher moral standards of the Americans, and use it against us. But when they have to take care of business, they explain away more brutal methods as, "that's our culture." Well it is, and as more of these differences hit the news, expect the reports of torture and murder by Iraqi security forces to increase.

Iraq now has about 120,000 people in the security forces (police and army), and wants to double that. When this happens in the next year, along with an increase in personnel quality and experience, the Sunni Arab terrorists will be on the defensive. Al Jazeera, and the rest of the Sunni Arab dominated Arab media, will be outraged. But the outrage will be mainly because Shia Arabs and Kurds are keeping Sunni Arabs out of power, not at how they are doing it.

But Western media will be appalled at the brutality of the next stage of the Iraqi civil war. Brace yourself.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: corruption; iraqiforces; iraqisecurity; torture
This is the essence of the Iraqi situation. We need to start getting out of the Iraqi's way and let them "do their thing". We cannot continue patroling Baghdad, Mosul, etc. for 15 years,like some Conservatives imagine, waiting to "transform" Iraqi society.

If we don't get out by 11/08, Hillary will be president, and get us out.

1 posted on 06/05/2005 3:24:41 PM PDT by strategofr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: strategofr

We don't have enough yet that are capable of 'doing their thing', but progress is being made.


2 posted on 06/05/2005 3:54:38 PM PDT by wingnutx (Seabees Can Do!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: strategofr
We need to start getting out of the Iraqi's way and let them "do their thing".

We will, but there needs to be more than 140,000 to manage the country.

We cannot continue...for 15 years,like some Conservatives imagine...

What conservatives have said this? I have not heard this.

3 posted on 06/05/2005 4:01:42 PM PDT by Just A Nobody (I - L O V E - my attitude problem!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: strategofr
But to most Iraqis, these American soldiers might as well be space aliens landing from another planet, and then departing back to their well protected bases.

Yes, and we abduct some terrorists on the way back
4 posted on 06/05/2005 4:07:44 PM PDT by Wiz
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: strategofr

in the next year, along with an increase in personnel quality and experience, the Sunni Arab terrorists will be on the defensive. Al Jazeera, and the rest of the Sunni Arab dominated Arab media, will be outraged. But the outrage will be

Well maybe the 20% Sunni minority will just get killed or learn to shutup.


5 posted on 06/05/2005 4:28:51 PM PDT by jec41 (Screaming Eagle)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Wiz

"Yes, and we abduct some terrorists on the way back" Outstanding graph.


6 posted on 06/05/2005 7:01:44 PM PDT by strategofr (What did happen to those 293 boxes of secret FBI files (esp on Senators) Hillary stole?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: jec41

"Well maybe the 20% Sunni minority will just get killed or learn to shutup."

Basically, I'm looking at it the same way. As long as we are practically reading these people their Miranda rights, they are happy to support the insurgi-terrorists. When the Iraqi security people come in and out 100 people in jail, they start screaming about their rights.

But the Shiites realize that ultimately, they are going to be having to kill some of these people, or the Sunnis will never stop. I'd like to train some Iraqi tank crews and some artillery. If the Iraqi infranty feels an area is too dangerous, give a loudspeaker warning and start blowing the area up, block by block. Give a pause every once in awhile, see if people want to surrender.

I realize some Sunni civilians are in a tough spot, but they had things their way for a long time. Now, if they want to get things back to the OK level, they will have to stretch a little.


7 posted on 06/05/2005 7:10:11 PM PDT by strategofr (What did happen to those 293 boxes of secret FBI files (esp on Senators) Hillary stole?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Justanobody

"We cannot continue...for 15 years,like some Conservatives imagine...

What conservatives have said this? I have not heard this."

I have read articles on NRO, if I am not mistaken, speaking about a commitment to stay in Iraq as long as we have to to resolve the situation, including those types of time periods. However, I cannot recall specific authors. I've seen many posts on Strategy page to that effect (not published writers but individuals---nonetheless, these conservative people beleived this). In my opinion, this sentiment is out there, or at least, it was 6 months ago.


8 posted on 06/05/2005 7:14:33 PM PDT by strategofr (What did happen to those 293 boxes of secret FBI files (esp on Senators) Hillary stole?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: strategofr
I have read articles on NRO...conservative people beleived this...

Okay. Actually, after I thought about it, didn't Bill Kristol get pretty cranky?

Regardless, I think they need to shut-up. It is serving no good purpose to help the demonRATS. The strategery has always been the same: When the Iraqi's are trained and equipped to defend their own country, THEN and ONLY THEN, will we leave. If I, Just A Nobody, understand the strategery, why can't everyone else? It's quite simple, really.

On the other hand, if they are revering to having a base in Iraq, that's a different story. We are STILL in Germany after 60 years, N. Korea etc. Just don't need that noise!

9 posted on 06/05/2005 7:49:31 PM PDT by Just A Nobody (I - L O V E - my attitude problem!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: strategofr

BTW, I'm sure you did not write the title, however, I find it extremely undermining. The Iraqi's are working very hard at not letting a Civil War break out, but the title alludes to an ongoing civil war. That is NOT helpful,IMO.


10 posted on 06/05/2005 7:53:01 PM PDT by Just A Nobody (I - L O V E - my attitude problem!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson