Phil's Winter prognostications have been correct only 39% of the time.
| 1887 | Shadow; first official trip to Gobbler's Knob. |
| 1888 | Shadow (Six more weeks of Winter!) |
| 1889 | no record |
| 1890 | NO Shadow (early Spring!) [Birthdate: Charles Correll ("Andy" on radio's Amos & Andy)] |
| 1891 | no record |
| 1892 | no record |
| 1893 | no record |
| 1894 | no record |
| 1895 | no record |
| 1896 | no record |
| 1897 | no record |
| 1898 | Shadow |
| 1899 | no record |
| 1900 | Shadow |
| 1901 | Shadow [Birthdate: Jascha Heifetz, violinist] |
| 1902 | NO Shadow |
| 1903 | Shadow |
| 1904 | Shadow |
| 1905 | Shadow |
| 1906 | Shadow [Birthdate: Gale Gordon, actor] |
| 1907 | Shadow |
| 1908 | Shadow |
| 1909 | Shadow |
| 1910 | Shadow |
| 1911 | Shadow |
| 1912 | Shadow [Birthdate: Burton Lane, composer] |
| 1913 | Shadow at 8:08 AM; first newspaper photo of Groundhog Day by John Frampton. |
| 1914 | Shadow at 9:34 AM |
| 1915 | Shadow at 11:45 AM; named Wiley William Woodchuck! |
| 1916 | Shadow at 9:07 AM; first films of Groundhog Day ceremony. |
| 1917 | Shadow |
| 1918 | Shadow; 18 degrees below zero. |
| 1919 | Shadow [Birthdate: Forrest Tucker, actor] |
| 1920 | Shadow |
| 1921 | Shadow at 7:17 AM |
| 1922 | Shadow at 7:11 AM; Groundhog Holiday Dance. |
| 1923 | Shadow [Birthdate: Liz Smith, gossip columnist] |
| 1924 | Shadow at 7:13 AM |
| 1925 | Shadow at 8:13 AM; [Birthdate: Elaine Stritch, actress] |
| 1926 | Shadow at 9:17 AM |
| 1927 | Shadow at 8:35 AM; [Birthdate: Stan Getz, jazz saxophonist] |
| 1928 | Shadow at 10:00 AM; program with Punx'y Rotary Club on KDKA Radio. |
| 1929 | Shadow |
| 1930 | Shadow at 7:11 AM |
| 1931 | Shadow at 12:27 PM |
| 1932 | Shadow at 9:11 AM |
| 1933 | Shadow |
| 1934 | NO Shadow. |
| 1935 | Shadow at 9:11 AM |
| 1936 | Shadow at 10:27 AM |
| 1937 | Shadow at 9:09 AM; early morning encounter with a skunk! [Birthdate: Tom Smothers, comedian] |
| 1938 | Shadow at 9:05 AM; "darkest shadow in history" (The Spirit, Feb. 2, 1938) |
| 1939 | Shadow at 9:10 AM |
| 1940 | Shadow at 9:00 AM |
| 1941 | Shadow at 4:25 PM |
| 1942 | Partial Shadow at 7:40 AM; "War clouds have blacked out parts of the shadow." (The Spirit, Feb. 2, 1942) [Birthdate: Graham Nash, guitarist, singer] |
| 1943 | Groundhog did not appear; relied on Quarryville's prediction. |
| 1944 | Shadow at 9:10 AM |
| 1945 | Shadow at 9:00 AM |
| 1946 | Shadow at 7:52 AM |
| 1947 | Shadow at 7:37 AM; first newspaper photo of Groundhog Club at Gobbler's Knob [Birthdate: Farrah Fawcett, actress, model] |
| 1948 | Shadow at 8:46 AM |
| 1949 | Shadow at 7:32 AM |
| 1950 | NO Shadow |
| 1951 | Shadow at 8:41 AM |
| 1952 | Shadow at 7:52 AM; on NBC's Today Show on Monday, February 4 |
| 1953 | Shadow at 7:38 AM; [Birthdate: Christie Brinkley, Cover Girl model] |
| 1954 | Shadow at 8:03 AM |
| 1955 | Shadow at 8:51 AM; 4" of snow on Groundhog Day; [Birthdate: Kim Zimmer, actress] |
| 1956 | Shadow at 8:33 AM |
| 1957 | Shadow at 7:47 AM; [Birthdate: Brent Spiner, actor] |
| 1958 | Shadow at 8:27 AM; [Birthdate: Holly Hunter, actress] |
| 1959 | Shadow at 8:23 AM |
| 1960 | Shadow at 7:33 AM; forecasts extremely bad weather on the Today show. |
| 1961 | Shadow at 7:41 AM; 25 below zero. |
| 1962 | Shadow at 7:29 AM; [Birthdate: Garth Brooks, singer] |
| 1963 | Shadow at 7:41 AM |
| 1964 | Shadow at 7:35 AM |
| 1965 | Shadow at 7:58 AM |
| 1966 | Shadow at 7:21 AM |
| 1967 | Shadow at 7:25 AM |
| 1968 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1969 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1970 | NO Shadow |
| 1971 | Shadow at 7:29 AM; 14 below zero. |
| 1972 | Shadow at 7:30 AM |
| 1973 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1974 | Shadow at 7:28 AM |
| 1975 | NO Shadow |
| 1976 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1977 | Shadow at 7:27; in midst of the energy crisis. |
| 1978 | Shadow at 7:28 AM |
| 1979 | Shadow at 7:28 AM |
| 1980 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1981 | Shadow at 7:27 AM |
| 1982 | Shadow at 7:26 AM; coldest January this Century. |
| 1983 | NO Shadow; predicted an early Spring after a mild El Nino Winter. |
| 1984 | Shadow at 7:04 AM |
| 1985 | Shadow at 7:28 AM |
| 1986 | NO Shadow; visited President Reagan at the White House in March. |
| 1987 | Shadow at 7:29 AM |
| 1988 | NO Shadow |
| 1989 | Shadow |
| 1990 | NO Shadow |
| 1991 | Shadow |
| 1992 | Shadow |
| 1993 | Shadow; the movie Groundhog Day with Bill Murray is released. |
| 1994 | Shadow at 7:28 AM |
| 1995 | NO Shadow; afternoon guest on the "Oprah Winfrey" TV Show. |
| 1996 | Shadow at 7:21 AM |
| 1997 | NO Shadow; 35,000 watched at Gobbler's Knob |
| 1998 | Shadow at 7:20 AM; predicting six more weeks of a mild El Nino Winter! |
| 1999 | NO Shadow at 7:23 AM; 37º rain |
| 2000 | Shadow at 7:28 AM; 12º overcast skies with flurries |
| 2001 |
| Shadow at 7:27 AM; 28º cloudy skies with light snow | |
| 2002 | Shadow at 7:25 AM; 19º mist with a record 38,000 visitors driven to Gobbler's Knob by bus for security. |
| 2003 | Shadow at 7:27 AM; 30º overcast skies with PA Governor Ed Rendell attending the ceremony. |
| 2004 | Shadow at 7:27 AM; 17º clear skies with snow on the ground, crowd boos the forecast! |
| 2005 | Shadow at 7:31 AM; 14º clear skies with a wind chill of 3ºF. |