[KJacob]

You soon will know whether Kerry’s appeal was strong enough to overcome the incumbent’s strength. I think I will be smiling broadly.

The Corner reported that this guy was predicting Bush. This sounds like the opposite although he does not give any good reasons that Kerry will win.

[WOSG]

Huh????

He's giving all the excuses for kerry not to win... ignore the partisan potshots and look at the predictions...

we are in war and the economy is REALLY NOT BAD AT ALL.

'nuff said.

Taking all that and more into account, an expert forecasting model suggests that Bush will get 51.6 percent of the two-party vote. "

.... so if Bush beats Kerry 50.9% to 48.5%, Mellman will say, 'we did better than we could have expected'.