I've also noticed that this guy has been dour all year. In fact, look at his picture on Newsmax. It's of a dour, depressed guy. He is like George Will, who always seems depressed
How do we know this?
... ummmmmmm... because it was such a sure-fire success formula for Howard Dean and his much ballyhooed zillion-strong army of "Deaniacs"...? :)
The higher the turnout - and some estimate upward of 120 million voters - the better it is for Kerry because those new voters are coming to vote against President Bush.
That's a big, big assumption. This is not a normal election Mr. LeBoutillier.
Wasn't MSM saying same thing during Reagan election and it turned out many of new voters registered were Christians?
I know. And a missing Chandra Levy means an abduction by a motorcycle gang of gay Jamaicans -- right, Mr. LeBoutillier?
I disagree completely. Especially when ya take this info into consideration. The poll came out yesterday:
The latest NY Times/CBS poll has President Bush up by 48-45. The "internals" of the poll provide even worse news for John Kerry. For example,
John Kerry has a 41% favorable, 47% unfavorable rating. This is his worst rating ever. President Bush has a 48% favorable, 41% unfavorable rating. That is his best rating since last December.
Undecided voters lean to President Bush 50%-47%, validating the Pew finding and calling the Gallup number into question.
66% of Bush voters strongly favor their candidate.
50% of Kerry voters strongly favor their candidate.
By a 49%-34% margin, voters expect President Bush to win.
53% of voters do not think that Kerry agrees with their priorities, his worst number ever. 42% believe he has the same.
48% of voters do not think that Bush agrees with their priorities. 49% believe he does share their priorities.
52% of voters think Kerry has leadership qualities, his lowest number ever.
62% of voters think President Bush has leadership qualities.
57% of voters are uneasy with Kerry’s ability to handle a crisis.
If Kerry wins with numbers like these, voters will have a serious and instantaneous case of buyer's remorse.
Via PoliPundit.
UPDATE: Crush Kerry points out that, in the CBS/New York Times poll, 35 percent of those sampled were Democrats and 30 percent were Republicans. The last two polls from this organization used the same sample weights and showed the race tied. So it's not like the enemy wants to provide us with good news.
Horse hockey!
I am so tired of reading Leboutillier crap
| Poll | Bush/Gore Error |
Nader Error |
| Harris Poll | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| CBS News | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| IBD/CSM/Tipp | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| ICR/Politics Now | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Gallup/CNN/USA Today | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Pew Research | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Zogby/Reuters | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Battleground | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Average | 1.1 | 1.3 |
What about the 6 guys in front of Zogby? Why does he think Zogby is the only one who got it right?
"As for 'new voters,' whether they will make a difference on 11-02 or skew the polls before 11-02. Let me just say this: "new voters" have been the perennial hope of every losing or stupid candidate since the dawn of democracy. I hear that one of the reasons Plato was so down on democracy in The Republic was because all those "new voters" in Athens did not come out to support his guy Socrates during 'The trial of Fourth Century BC'. We all know what happened with that one!" (from Jay Cost's blog)
Wishful thinking. High Turnout kills Kerry. Look at the Polling internals. This is just more of the same old "we are the party of the people" mythology spun out by the Democrats.
I hope they have a back up plan.
Not if there is a marriage amendment on the state ballot. Just like Missouri, people will turn out in droves to protect their state from gay marriage.
I've been a little concerned about the high-turnout and new voter registrations. I listened to Sean Hannity's show a few weeks ago and they did the "man on the street" interviews. Some voters couldn't even name the VP or VP candidate.
Ahhhhh, yes. Can anybody point to a dire prediction that he's ever got right?
If a war criminal and ambulance chaser can get elected to the white house then our country will never see another decent man in the white house.
John
Ahhhh, good 'ol NewsMax. They've been whipping their readers into frenzy the past few days, mostly gloom-n-doom anti-Bush reports. I made the mistake of ordering their magazine and it pretty much goes straight to the litter box upon delivery. I think one has to be a tin-foil hatter to work there.
What no one has mentioned at all is the turn-out of Blacks this time. I read as article predicting (WSJ)m that 15%-18% may be breaking for Bush. That is HUGE. The Rats need this base, which just may be eroding.
Republicans are extremely well organized at the grass roots level & their base is more energized than it has ever been. Look at the internals from last week - Bush is in good shape.Weekend polls - especially right before Nov.2 - are skewed towards Dems & not reliable.Gallup has also skewed the undecideds 9-1 toward Kerry which goes against internals. Have faith and go vote.