The DNC is hammering ads here in MN, when will the RNC start playing ads?
All that tells you is that Kerry is behind in that state.
If the kerry ads have little or no effect and bush stays ahead, he may not spend any money in the state.
If a candidate is behind in a must win state, that candidate spends a lot of money on ads. If the ads don't work and the money is in effect wasted, then the other camapaign may spend little or nothing at all.
There appears to be 7 states that are in real contention Four of those states were won by Gore in 2000.
Right now it looks like Bush is going to win OHio and PA is too close to call. If the undecideds drop the way Rove is predicting Pa will be in the Bush column. It that happens the game is over.
Kerry is buying ads and running his campaign like a man who is behind. Candidates that run like they are behind.. ....... are.