[labard1]

The maximum contract position for any account is $500 in the Iowa Electronic Market. That's hardly in the George Soros league (not worth the time to open the account). Perhaps the Dim Underground with lots of little accounts could be doing something like this, but this is not a market involving material amounts of money.

The Intrade.com site is much more active (Irish betting site), and it shows almost a 59% probability of a Bush win.

[ableChair]

max contract position doesn't matter. Any resourceful person can find hundreds of surrogates to invest through. Especially if we're talking about an organized group like a 527.