"I think the dems party will split up:"
Maybe, probably.
"The leftists will join the Green Party,"
With Nader and Ingrid Newkirk as their White Hosue ticket.
"the moderates will discover the Libertarians."
Here I disagree. It would be very difficult even for the moderate Democrats to divorce from their Socialism Lite leanings, which the Libertarians have no use for. It would be like cutting off a limb. Only those Democrats that are fiscally conservative and socially liberal will be able to make that leap. The rest will either bolster the GOP's liberal wing or form the new "rump state" Democratic Party.
"In the long run, I think American politics will revolve around conservatism vs. libertarianism with the Greens playing the pesky ankle-biters."
I think it will go back to the 1950's political paradigm of both main parties being agreed on anti-communism/socialism with their main dispute being labor vs. management. Greens and Libertarians will be two mosquitoes buzzing annoyingly in the left and right ear.
"Before that happens, though, I think there will be some social unrest as we see the democrat leviathan go through some serious death throes. Hold on--we're in for a ride."
Agreed. In fact, I think a second Civil War is not out of the question.
I don't know--I'm thinking Reagan Democrats here.
In fact, I think a second Civil War is not out of the question.
Agreed. In fact, I believe that we are in a Cold Civil War right now.