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Bush's Gorbachevism: Bush is Proposing to Abolish the US Labor Market
National Review Online ^ | 1/14/04 | John O'Sullivan

Posted on 01/14/2004 8:27:31 AM PST by Tancred

Some years ago Owen Harries, the founding editor of The National Interest magazine, coined a term, "Gorbachevism," to describe a new sort of politics. Gorbachevism was a politics that "substituted daring for thought" and that accordingly consisted of "a series of leaps into the unknown." Mikhail Gorbachev was, of course, the first Gorbachevite. His bold attempts to reform the Soviet Union brought about its total collapse — a standard of achievement that is hard to match. But George W. Bush is bidding to match it with his proposed reforms of immigration law.

These reforms — an open-ended "guest-worker" program, an amnesty for illegal aliens, and an increase in the number of "green card" slots for alien permanent residents — are far more bold, radical, and ambitious than even his critics like me had forecast. Not to put too fine a point on it, Mr. Bush is proposing to abolish the U.S. labor market by integrating it with the world labor market — including the third-world labor market.

That is the plain meaning of a guest-worker program that, in the president's own words, will "match willing worker with willing employer." Under this prescription hundreds of millions of workers from Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East would have the legal right to emigrate to the U.S. as "temporary" workers if American employers wished to hire them.

Not all of these millions would come, to be sure. Already, however, 14 percent of the U.S. workforce is foreign-born; between eight and eleven million workers are here illegally; and some estimates suggest that as many as 20 million new arrivals might enter the U.S. over the next decade. Even a marginal increase in such immigration, however, would exert a steady downward pressure on wages and drive low-paid Americans out of jobs.

Downplaying such forecasts, the Bush people argue that immigrants, including illegals currently here, will be allowed to take only those jobs that Americans have already turned down. But how will this prohibition be enforced? Very simply: It is not going to be enforced — at least for the illegals already here. The "senior administration official" who briefed the press on the Bush proposals stated clearly that the mere fact that an illegal immigrant was employed would be sufficient proof that no American had wanted the job.

Hard to believe? Here is the money quote: "If you're asking the question as to whether the person [the employer] needs to say, okay, well, here's Mary, and she's in this spot, do we need to hold on Mary and look for some American to fill that position, the answer is, no. We assume that by virtue of Mary's employment, that marketplace test, if you will, has been met." Several other statements to the same effect — and the senior administration official advanced no clear idea of how the government would ensure that the prohibition would be enforced for new arrivals.

The administration's next line of defense is to argue that the immigrants will be temporary guest workers who will return home after three years. Yet almost all experience with such programs in several continents across several decades demonstrates that guest workers become permanent residents in due course — very often as a result of the kind of "amnesty" that the administration is again proposing here.

But we need not rely on past experience to forecast their permanence. Guest workers will be here indefinitely because (a) under the Bush rules there is no limit to the number of times their three-year work program can be extended; (b) they can bring in their families and, if they have a child while here, they become the parents of a U.S. citizen and thus undeportable; (c) they will have greater opportunities to marry U.S. citizens; and (d) if all else fails, they can blend back into the underworld of illegal work and documentation that more than eight million of them already inhabit.

In response to this last point, Bush-administration officials assure us that, on the contrary, they will deport those guest workers who fail to leave the U.S. voluntarily when their work program is finished. But this assurance is in flat contradiction to their main rationale for the entire reform program — namely, that the alternative policy of deporting the eight million illegals here now is unthinkable.

If it is unthinkable to deport eight million illegals today, why will it be easier to deport two or three times that number in a decade or so when even more businesses will be alleged to be reliant on them and even more pressure groups will be pressing their case? Not even the Bush officials believe that either many illegals or many guest workers will go home‹that is one reason why they are increasing the number of "green cards" for permanent residents.

In addition to everything else, this is a plan for increasing already high levels of legal immigration.

Some defenders of the reforms justify them as a way of replacing illegal workers with legal ones and consequently cleaning up the vast sweatshop underground of illegal employment, habitation, transport and documentation. (For a vivid and realistic picture of this unknown America, read Tom Wolfe's A Man In Full in which one of the main characters on the run after breaking out of prison travels across America on this immigrants' underground railway — useful, of course, also to criminals and terrorists.)

What will really happen, as anyone interested in immigration policy knows, is that the vast immigrant ghettoes will grow even vaster as a result of the guest-worker and amnesty programs. Some entering them will be guest workers whose time has expired but who can find jobs in a growing "black economy" fuelled by cheap labor of all kinds. Others will be workers who could not find an American employer legally from abroad and crossed the border to seek work illegally in the U.S. informal sector. Still more will be immigrants attracted mainly by a free education for their children that will cost the U.S. taxpayer $8,000 annually but that is priceless to them. And this sweatshop underground will also provide its useful services to criminals and terrorists — no questions asked.

Once in the U.S., these various new illegals will pass unnoticed in the cultural enclaves where Spanish, Arabic, or Cantonese is spoken and where millions of additional legal workers will provide camouflage for their presence. Excellent fake documentation, plus the frequent comings-and-goings of millions of people across the border, minus any political will in both major parties to enforce the law, will make immigration regulation even more meaningless than it is today. And the remorseless spread of this sweatshop underground within America will not only undercut the wages of low-paid Americans, but also strain public service budgets, intensify pressures on the environment, dilute the meaning of U.S. citizenship, fragment America's common culture, and extend the national security swamp in which terrorist fish swim with happy impunity.

In short this is Gorbachevism — a leap into the unknown because Mr. Bush has substituted daring for thought. Not a good bargain. As A. E. Houseman once remarked: "A moment's thought would have saved us from these follies. But thought is a painful process, and a moment is a long time."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: aliens; immigration
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1 posted on 01/14/2004 8:27:36 AM PST by Tancred
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To: Tancred
Mikhail Gorbachev was, of course, the first Gorbachevite. His bold attempts to reform the Soviet Union brought about its total collapse — a standard of achievement that is hard to match.

Oh? Are we back to the chestnut that the Soviet Union destroyed itself through internal reforms? I thought some guy named Ronald Reagan had something to do with it. But I guess Gorby did it all.

2 posted on 01/14/2004 8:32:01 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (France delenda est)
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To: Tancred
Yawwwwnnn..another BUSH FAULT bullsh** hit piece! This is really getting tiresome!
3 posted on 01/14/2004 8:44:04 AM PST by RoseofTexas (r)
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To: Tancred
Campaign Finance "Reform" Offends the First Amendment-Campaign Finance Reform thread-day 35

4 posted on 01/14/2004 8:45:10 AM PST by The_Eaglet (Conservative chat on IRC: http://searchirc.com/search.php?F=exact&T=chan&N=33&I=conservative)
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To: RoseofTexas
I'm getting tired of Bush's abdication of repelling our borders from invasion.
5 posted on 01/14/2004 8:47:29 AM PST by The_Eaglet (Conservative chat on IRC: http://searchirc.com/search.php?F=exact&T=chan&N=33&I=conservative)
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To: Tancred
It seems more likely to me that Bush is not abolishing, but replacing the labor market (particularly in the jobs 'Americans' don't want)AND MORE INTERESTINGLY, replacing a minority (that comparitively, doesn't want to work) with a new minority that 1)Has stronger beliefs in family. 2)Has history and potential for, voting in greater numbers in the R column. 3)And is willing to work hard, by starting at an entry level, saving money and seeking opportunity, and statistically staying off unemployment and welfare in better percentages, per capita.
6 posted on 01/14/2004 8:49:14 AM PST by TheRightResponse
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To: Tancred
I'm no fan of the immigration plan, but this is the biggest bunch of hyperbolic nonsense I've ever read.

Calm down. The country withstood a lot worse than a crummy immigration plan even if it was ever passed, which it won't be.

7 posted on 01/14/2004 8:54:22 AM PST by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Tancred
President Bush is a Nazi, a Communist, yada, yada, yada....
8 posted on 01/14/2004 8:56:54 AM PST by TheDon (Have a Happy New Year!)
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To: TheRightResponse; A. Pole
By way, if Mexicans so much in positive in all these, then why in 200 years they create deeper and deeper ghetto in own country? And this after countless revolutions to fix thing. And lastly, two thing will happen, if you not see them you'll get to live them: one unions will mobilize low paid workers and they vote left and even not mobilized, poor will vote more and more left and if remain in ghetto then become more radicalized...enjoy America's personal Communist Experience...guess Alaska open for development after all...Gulag variety.

Russia has tight borders (except for illegal Chinese...but no desire to legalize them and when possible, move them back out) but for fleeing Americans, sure border will be open.

9 posted on 01/14/2004 9:07:34 AM PST by RussianConservative (Xristos: the Light of the World)
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To: RLK
bump
10 posted on 01/14/2004 9:11:13 AM PST by RussianConservative (Xristos: the Light of the World)
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To: RiflemanSharpe; RockyMtnMan
bump
11 posted on 01/14/2004 9:12:39 AM PST by RussianConservative (Xristos: the Light of the World)
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To: TheRightResponse
I never thought of it that way. You are absolutly right
12 posted on 01/14/2004 9:16:02 AM PST by ezo4
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To: Tancred
The journalist makes a decidedly circular argument ... we already have illegal 'guest workers' (guest of the employer because he's paying them!) from all over the world, but the journalist doesn't want these to be registered? Anti-Bushism makes idiots out of normally rational journalists, don'tcha know!... Anything to create hate and division in America, to aid their dnc paramours.
13 posted on 01/14/2004 9:19:23 AM PST by MHGinTN (If you can read this, you've had life support from someone. Promote life support for others.)
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To: RussianConservative
By way, if Mexicans so much in positive in all these, then why in 200 years they create deeper and deeper ghetto in own country?

Good point. They also create ghettos in our country wherever they predominate.

14 posted on 01/14/2004 9:21:43 AM PST by Nea Wood (Democrats - they throw OUR money at THEIR problems.)
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To: RoseofTexas
This is really getting tiresome!

So is Bush's refusal to enforce existing immigration laws, the attempt to remove them, and the results thereof:

No Blood for Lettuce!

Click here and here for lists of crimes committed by illegal aliens

Tell the people who are still alive on the provided lists how "tiresome" it is.

15 posted on 01/14/2004 9:24:44 AM PST by putupon (I'm being punished; I have to post "I will not call the President the J name." 100 times)
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To: Tancred
Bush is a fascist for not granting amnesty to illegals, Bush is a Nazi for controlling a minority population and now Bush id a communist for meddling with economic. Let me guess, next week Bush will be a socialist for giving immigrants a job? What more can you liberaltarians come up with? Wouldn't it be great if Tom Tancredo got 25% of the vote and Bush got 25% of the vote? Dean would get the other 50% and we'd be giving citizenship and free welfare to all illegal immigrants. Simply splendid.
16 posted on 01/14/2004 9:33:22 AM PST by m1-lightning (Weapons of deterrence do not deter terrorists; people of deterrence do.)
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To: RussianConservative
By way, if Mexicans so much in positive in all these, then why in 200 years they create deeper and deeper ghetto in own country?

Last 80 years -> PRC (Communists)

Prior to that, corruption carried over from Santa Anna's era of dictatorship.

Remember, the "ghetto" of California that Kit Carson convinced to break away from Mexico during the Mexican War? A prosperous State of Mexico that was tired of being drained by a madman in Mexico City.

Remember the date on the Mexican flag that flew over the Alamo? 1824, the year the Mexican Constitution was written, and in 1832 was discarded by Santa Anna.

Would you call California and Texas "ghettos" at the time they broke away from Mexico? I wouldn't. I would say that the people who lived there, both Hispanic and Anglo, were opposed to the dictatorship of Santa Anna and as a result of their breaking away avoided the Communism that followed the next century.

Dictatorship followed by communism doesn't allow for economic growth. Now that the PRC is gone, hopefully some economic growth will develop.

But to say that as a people, Mexicans turn where they live into ghettos... well that does more than smack of racism.

17 posted on 01/14/2004 9:34:44 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: All
This is the best description to date. IMO.

jobs that Americans have already turned down

Or, jobs that Americans won't do.

The "senior administration official" who briefed the press on the Bush proposals stated clearly that the mere fact that an illegal immigrant was employed would be sufficient proof that no American had wanted the job.

Not only that but I cannot forget Limbaugh's comments. You see, when an American takes a job he will complain about the working conditions, wages, duties, hours, benefits, and on and on.

Therefore even though he took the job, he did not accept the job. Enter the hard working, tax paying, family loving "migrant" or, willing worker. Fire the American -- he did not accept the job -- and hire the willing worker.

18 posted on 01/14/2004 9:38:34 AM PST by WilliamofCarmichael
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To: TheRightResponse
It seems more likely to me that Bush is not abolishing, but replacing the labor market (particularly in the jobs 'Americans' don't want)AND MORE INTERESTINGLY, replacing a minority (that comparitively, doesn't want to work) with a new minority that 1)Has stronger beliefs in family. 2)Has history and potential for, voting in greater numbers in the R column. 3)And is willing to work hard, by starting at an entry level, saving money and seeking opportunity, and statistically staying off unemployment and welfare in better percentages, per capita.

Which minority is getting replaced?


19 posted on 01/14/2004 9:43:29 AM PST by Sabertooth (Eighteen solutions better than any Amnesty - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1053318/posts)
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To: RussianConservative
Well, your fear for an inevitable union coming to the defense of the lowest wage workers may be worthy of waryness, but we're not just talking about Mexican immigrants here. I doubt that you'll see other Latino groups, such as Cuban immigrants, pushing union representation anytime soon.

The stealth value of at least registering illegals, is worthy of something in its own right. If we can't/won't stop them at the border, at least registering them is a measure of security that this country needs, for more reasons than just labor.
20 posted on 01/14/2004 9:44:26 AM PST by TheRightResponse
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