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U.S. M-2 money supply fell $20.3 bln Dec 22 week
Biz.Yahoo/Reuters ^ | January 2, 2004

Posted on 01/02/2004 2:15:17 PM PST by Starwind

U.S. M-2 money supply fell $20.3 bln Dec 22 week
Friday January 2, 4:29 pm ET

 NEW YORK, Jan 2 (Reuters) - U.S. M-2 money supply fell by
$20.3 billion in the Dec. 22 week to $6.034.5 billion, the
Federal Reserve said on Friday.
 The Fed said the four-week moving average of M-2 was
$6,049.0 billion vs $6.055.0 billion in the previous week.
 Following are the details of the money supply report, and
the Fed's H.3 and H.4 reports:
. One week ended December 22 (billions dlrs)
.    Latest  Change        Prev week  Rvsd from
M-1....1,288.2 down....1.8 vs 1,290.0.....1,290.0
M-2....6,034.5 down...20.3 vs 6,054.8.....6,054.8
M-3....8,798.0 down...30.4 vs 8,828.4.....8,828.3
M-2 Avg 4 wks (Vs Wk ago)..6,049.0 vs.....6,055.0
Monthly aggregates (Adjusted avgs in billions)
M-1 (Nov vs Oct)..........1,282.0 vs.....1,286.9
M-2 (Nov vs Oct)..........6,071.0 vs.....6,091.9
M-3 (Nov vs Oct)..........8,861.5 vs.....8,896.1
.   Federal Reserve's H.3 and H.4 report:
.  Two Weeks Ended December 24 daily avgs-mlns (H.3)
Free Reserves.........rvsd...1,901 vs..rvsd....1,274
Bank Borrowings..54 vs.............36
Seasonal Loans...35 vs.............25
Excess Reserves..............1,955 vs..........1,310
Required Reserves (Adj).....40,231 vs.........43,328
Required Reserves...........40,697 vs.........41,959
Total Reserves..............42,634 vs.........43,269
Non-Borrowed Reserves.......42,580 vs.........43,233
Monetary Base (Unadj)......737,363 vs........734,325
.    Two Weeks Ended December 24 daily avgs-mlns
Total Vault Cash......rvsd..44,285 vs.........42,576
Inc Cash Equal to Req Res...31,847 vs.........31,860
.        One week ended December 31 (H4.1)
Bank Borrowings...65 down...........5
Primary Credit....32 down...........1
Secondary Credit.nil vs..........unch
Seasonal Credit...33 down...........4
Adjustment Credit...............nil vs..........unch
Float..........1,183 up...........761
Balances/Adjustments.........12,112 down..........42
Currency.....723,714 up.........5,068
Treasury Deposits.............5,850 up.........1,149
.   One week ended December 31 - daily avgs-mlns
Fed bank credit.............746,570 up.........7,055
Treasuries held outright....666,402 up...........368
Agencies held outright..........nil vs..........unch
Repos ........38,679 up.........5,500
Other Fed assets.............40,242 up...........432
Other Fed liabilities........20,589 down.........170
Other deposits with Fed.........319 up............72
Foreign deposits..99 up.............3
Gold stock....11,043 vs..........unch
Custody holdings..........1,066,742 vs.....1,060,521
.             Factors on December 31
Bank borrowings...63 vs...........174
Float...........-315 vs.........2,061


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: m2; moneystock; moneysupply
The Fed reports are at:

H.3 AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND THE MONETARY BASE
H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances
H.6 MONEY STOCK MEASURES
H.8 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS

1 posted on 01/02/2004 2:15:17 PM PST by Starwind
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2 posted on 01/02/2004 2:15:48 PM PST by Support Free Republic (I'd rather be sleeping. Let's get this over with so I can go back to sleep!)
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To: AntiGuv; arete; sourcery; Soren; Tauzero; imawit; David; AdamSelene235; sarcasm; OwenKellogg; ...
These reports are rather arcane, but the money supply keeps dropping...
3 posted on 01/02/2004 2:16:35 PM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: Starwind
In spite of the Fed's frantic efforts to inflate the economy under Greenspin, the overall economy continues to tank.
4 posted on 01/02/2004 2:32:55 PM PST by BrucefromMtVernon
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To: Starwind; All
These reports are rather arcane, but the money supply keeps dropping...

And M3, has contracted at it's fastest pace since 1944!!

5 posted on 01/02/2004 2:34:47 PM PST by Lael (Bush to Middle Class: Send your kids to DIE in Iraq while I send your LIVELIHOODS to INDIA!)
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To: Starwind
What happened to MZM (Money of Zero Maturity)?
6 posted on 01/02/2004 2:38:04 PM PST by LandofLincoln
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To: Support Free Republic
Somebody, please explain in 30 words or less....how the heck does M1,M2, and M3 work.

I'm not too smart, please explain in simple terms.

May God bless you for your effort.

7 posted on 01/02/2004 2:42:43 PM PST by joyful1
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To: Starwind
Wow! M3 has been contracting for 4 months straight now.

SPOCK!!! WHAT...Does ...IT ....Mean??!

The rate of contraction does appear to be slowing. Looks like supply is going to level off for a bit.

8 posted on 01/02/2004 2:51:53 PM PST by AdamSelene235 (I always shoot for the moon......sometimes I hit London.- Von Braun)
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To: joyful1
M1 - Consists of currency (cash/coins), checkable deposits, and traveler's checks.

M2 - Consists of all the items in M1. Also consists of money market deposit accounts, savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and various "near-moneys".

M3 - Consists of everything in M1 and M2, in addition to large-denomination time deposits.
9 posted on 01/02/2004 2:52:03 PM PST by Ex-Dem (>>>--------------->)
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To: joyful1
Oops...sorry, that wasn't 30 words or less :(.
10 posted on 01/02/2004 2:52:43 PM PST by Ex-Dem (>>>--------------->)
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To: joyful1
Looking at it another way, M1 is considered the most "liquid", while M3 is considered the least "liquid". The more liquid something is, the easier it is to convert a certain type of asset to cash when it's needed.
11 posted on 01/02/2004 2:56:08 PM PST by Ex-Dem (>>>--------------->)
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To: joyful1
Why the money is shrinking is somewhat controversial. I've not read any detailed consistent explanations. The Fed might know but doesn't want to say, or doesn't know why or what to do about it. Some Austrian economists argue it is shrinking because the Fed is inflating (printing money), but they don't give a detailed explanation of how it is shrinking either.

Start here at Money supply - Wikipedia

Look up words here:
Campbell R. Harvey's Hypertextual Finance Glossary

Background definition of money supply measures:

M1
Measure of the U.S. money stock that consists of currency held by the public, travelers checks, demand deposits and other checkable deposits including NOW (negotiable order of withdrawal) and ATS (automatic transfer service) account balances and share draft account balances at credit unions.

MZM
Money Zero Maturity The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' measure of money stock including currency in circulation, demand and other checkable deposits and institutional money funds. MZM differs from M1 in that it includes "sweep" accounts (institutional money funds).

M2
Measure of the U.S. money stock that consists of M1, certain overnight repurchase agreements and certain overnight Eurodollars, savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts), time deposits in amounts of less that $100,000 and balances in money market mutual funds (other than those restricted to institutional investors).

M3
Measure of the U.S. money stock that consists of M2, time deposits of $100,000 or more at all depository institutions, term repurchase agreements in amounts of $100,000 or more, certain term Eurodollars and balances in money market mutual funds restricted to institutional investor.

12 posted on 01/02/2004 3:05:30 PM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: AdamSelene235
SPOCK!!! WHAT...Does ...IT ....Mean??!

(arches eyebrow) Fascinating!

13 posted on 01/02/2004 3:08:04 PM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: Starwind
Suspect it reflects an aggregate re-allocation of assets from the more liquid savings type accounts into less liquid real estate, metals and equities. Probably also due to a shift from some dollar denominated savings accounts into foreign currencies.
14 posted on 01/02/2004 3:15:05 PM PST by fso301
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To: fso301
Suspect it reflects an aggregate re-allocation of assets from the more liquid savings type accounts into less liquid real estate, metals and equities.

Most of the time this means the 'money' moves from one account, to another account and ought to still be included in the measures somewhere.

Repayment of bank loans takes money out of circulation for example. The loan was created out of thin air, and the repayment returns to thin air. - ain't fractional reserve banking great?

Problem with the loan-repayment explanation is that aggregate debt is rising, not falling.

Probably also due to a shift from some dollar denominated savings accounts into foreign currencies.

Possibly. The Japanese have been printing Yen and buying up dollars with the printed Yen. So where do the bought dollars go? If they're invested, they're back in the money supply. But if they're sitting in a Japanese Central Bank, I would think that would be reported to the Fed and those dollars would be counted.

Even if the dollars were spent to buy gold, the 'spending' puts them back in circulation.

'tis a puzzlement.

15 posted on 01/02/2004 3:50:26 PM PST by Starwind (The Gospel of Jesus Christ is the only true good news)
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To: Ex-Dem
M1 consists of debt.
M2 consists of debt plus more debt.
M3 consists of debt plus more debt plus more debt.

The basic unit of account is a debt. Your assets are debt. Your liabilities are debts for debt. When individuals and institutions lose their ability to pay their debts then it starts a chain reaction and cascading debt defaults occur. The government tries to fix the problem by borrowing debt from the the central bank, renaming that debt money, and spending it. Sometimes the money can't be spent faster than the defaults. So the amount of money seems to decrease. What is really happening is that debts are going bad and folks are becoming insolvent. Insolvency leads to repossessions and foreclosures. The debtors get to move back in with mom and dad and the bank gets the house and car.

In the old days debts had to be repaid in gold and silver coin, because this is how the U.S. Constitution, in Article 1, Section 10, Clause 1 said it has to be.

Later, when it was ok to ignore the Constitution, it was sufficient to repay a debt with a piece of paper that promised gold or silver coins when redeemed, because that is how the Legal Tender Laws of Febuary 25, 1862 said it would then be. People didn't bother to redeem the pieces of paper and slowly forgot why the founders thought it was important to settle debts in gold and silver coin. Since paper could proliferate and contract violently under these conditions, booms and busts happened and were blamed for hard times.

Later yet, it was sufficient to repay a debt with a piece of paper that promises nothing, since the Federal Reserve and Congress decided that is how it will be. The justification for the federal reserve was to smooth the booms and busts of the period prior. Never mentioned was that the booms and busts happened after the Legal Tender laws were passed. So the federal reserve was a false solution to a problem that began with the legal tender laws. But sssh don't tell anyone.

It is this last kind of debt that is the essence of our unit of monetary account. It is M1. Cash; dollar bills or numbers on the statement from your bank, are debt some individual borrowed or your government borrowed in your name, that circulates as money. The coins are mere tokens. Pennies are not copper, I don't know what nickels are made of but probably not nickel, dimes and quarters and half-dollars, and dollars are not made of silver. Tokens, all of them. I think of this kind of money the way I think of negative numbers, it has a negative quality, anti-wealth, because someone somewhere owes money is the reason you have it.

Real coins are in coin shops with premiums for rarity and good condition. I think of real coins as I think of a positive number, not debt, not negative. They are wealth. When so worn that no one would think it cool to have any individual silver coin, they are sold for their junk value of silver in bags. Example a $1000.00 face value bag of quarters or dimes containing about 715 Oz of silver costs !4,276.00 FRN--at today's prices. Proper paper money is also in the coin shops. They were like warehouse receipts for gold and silver coins and were honored at one time. They did not have the negative debt quality that modern money has though it was not quite as positive as holding the gold coin, it still required trust and confidence. Now the old silver and gold certificates only have historical interest to collectors and no one is there to honor them in a literal way.

16 posted on 01/02/2004 4:50:35 PM PST by Jason_b
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To: arete
Ping as I'm sure you're interested in this...
17 posted on 01/02/2004 4:53:17 PM PST by Beck_isright ("Deserving ain't got nothing to do with it" - William Money)
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To: Jason_b
LOL! So true though.
18 posted on 01/02/2004 4:57:01 PM PST by Ex-Dem (>>>--------------->)
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