The severity of the outbreak is a pretty easy call by looking at the sequence of the Fujian virus or the frequency of infections and deaths in children.
Some experts are wishful thinkers or don't want to admit that they blew it badly in February when they approved using Panama once again (for the 4th year in a row)to price an identical vaccine that the administered to 83 million and discarded another 12 million doses.
The epidemic is VERY easy to predict by anyone paying attention.
So we were told by Jeane Dixon.