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Jobs come and go
townhall.com ^ | 11/26/2003 | Walter E. Williams

Posted on 11/26/2003 5:44:49 AM PST by PeteFromMontana

Jobs come and go

Walter E. Williams

November 26, 2003

In 1970, the telecommunications industry employed 421,000 switchboard operators. In the same year, Americans made 9.8 billion long distance calls. Today, the telecommunications industry employs only 78,000 operators. That's a tremendous 80 percent job loss.

What should Congress have done to save those jobs? Congress could have taken a page from India's history. In 1924, Mahatma Gandhi attacked machinery, saying it "helps a few to ride on the backs of millions" and warned, "The machine should not make atrophies the limbs of man." With that kind of support, Indian textile workers were able to politically block the introduction of labor-saving textile machines. As a result, in 1970 India's textile industry had the level of productivity of ours in the 1920s.

Michael Cox, chief economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and author Richard Alms tell the rest of the telecommunications story in their Nov. 17 New York Times article, "The Great Job Machine." Spectacular technological advances made it possible for the telecommunications industry to cut its manpower needs down to 78,000 to handle not the annual 9.8 billion long distance calls in 1970, but today's over 98 billion calls.

One forgotten beneficiary in today's job loss demagoguery is the consumer. Long distance calls are a tiny fraction of their cost in 1970. Just since 1984, long distance costs have fallen by 60 percent. Using 1970s technology, to make today's 98 billion calls would require 4.2 million operators. That's 3 percent of our labor force. Moreover, a long distance call would cost 40 times more than it does today.

Finding cheaper ways to produce goods and services frees up labor to produce other things. If productivity gains aren't made, where in the world would we find workers to produce all those goods that weren't even around in the 1970s?

It's my guess that the average anti-free-trade person wouldn't protest, much less argue that Congress should have done something about the job loss in the telecommunications industry. He'd reveal himself an idiot. But there's no significant economic difference between an industry using technology to reduce production costs and using cheaper labor to do the same. In either case, there's no question that the worker who finds himself out of a job because of the use of technology or cheaper labor might encounter hardships. The political difference is that it's easier to organize resentment against India and China than against technology.

Both Republican and Democratic interventionist like to focus on job losses as they call for trade restrictions, but let us look at what was happening in the 1990s. Cox and Alm report that recent Bureau of Labor Statistics show an annual job loss from a low of 27 million in 1993 to a high of 35.4 million in 2001. In 2000, when unemployment reached its lowest level, 33 million jobs were lost. That's the loss side. However, annual jobs created ranged from 29.6 million in 1993 to a high of 35.6 million in 1999.

These are signs of a healthy economy, where businesses start up, fail, downsize and upsize, and workers are fired and workers are hired all in the process of adapting to changing technological, economic and global conditions. Societies become richer when this process is allowed to occur. Indeed, because our nation has a history of allowing this process to occur goes a long way toward explaining why we are richer than the rest of the world.

Those Americans calling for government restrictions that would deny companies and ultimately consumers to benefit from cheaper methods of production are asking us to accept lower wealth in order to protect special interests. Of course, they don't cloak their agenda that way. It's always "national security," "level playing fields" and "protecting jobs". Don't fall for it -- we'll all become losers.

©2003 Creators Syndica


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: walterwilliams

1 posted on 11/26/2003 5:44:49 AM PST by PeteFromMontana
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To: PeteFromMontana
Walter Williams should be banned from FR for making so much g*d d*mn sense!
2 posted on 11/26/2003 6:11:20 AM PST by Paradox (I dont believe in taglines, in fact, this tagline does not exist.)
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To: PeteFromMontana
Finding cheaper ways to produce goods and services frees up labor to produce other things.

Like what, he didn't tell us what labor will get freed up for? No matter what industry Americans get into, it can be done cheaper abroad when workers are making only a fraction of the going wage rate in the states. Can't say I blame a company for moving to China when they can pay workers 20 cents an hour.

It's also quite naive to think millions of workers can be displaced thanks to government policy and they'll just find something new tomorrow. What if they don't? There are only so many hamburger flipping jobs to go around.

3 posted on 11/26/2003 6:16:15 AM PST by Reaganwuzthebest
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To: PeteFromMontana
(Protectionist rant)

SOBS ruined my buggywhip business!!!!!

(I want a pony!)

(/Protectionist rant)

4 posted on 11/26/2003 6:19:49 AM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: PeteFromMontana
I'm all for free trade, but not when my job is on the line. Linotype forever!
5 posted on 11/26/2003 6:40:44 AM PST by Agnes Heep
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To: Mad Dawgg
LOL!

I've been bitter ever since stay makers and coopers were forced out jobs.

My family started out farmers (200 years ago), later became coal miners (100 years ago). My grandfather and dad worked in a steel mill, which is now closed down. This generation of The Family are mostly linked to technical jobs or teaching. My ancestors lived a hard life and died early. My father’s job was dirty and dangerous and he almost died several times (and others around him didn’t make it). I just have to try to not get fat while I sit on my @ss all day. Some day, our kids will do something that, like my job, didn’t even exist 20 years ago. Somehow we all survive, at least the ones who are not overly stupid. Adapt or die.

6 posted on 11/26/2003 6:54:44 AM PST by meowmeow
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To: Paradox
Walter is one of my favorites - however, we need jobs in this country and not ship them to countries employing virtual slave labor. We purchase and enable other countries to exploit their people – they can not even afford the products they manufacture.

I yet do not know the solution -- but that sucking sound as jobs are whooshed away is very alarming.
7 posted on 11/26/2003 7:23:17 AM PST by RAY
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To: Mad Dawgg
SOBS ruined my buggywhip business!!!!!

What jobs that are being exported do you see as in a 'buggywhip' business?
8 posted on 11/26/2003 8:38:39 AM PST by lelio
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To: Paradox
His columns are open invitations to play Spot the FR Loony.
And this one will have its share of sightings.
9 posted on 11/26/2003 9:26:41 AM PST by gcruse (http://gcruse.typepad.com/)
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To: lelio
"What jobs that are being exported do you see as in a 'buggywhip' business?"

What is, all of them!

I'll take "Americans Innovate and Adapt" for 1200 Alex.

10 posted on 11/26/2003 10:10:22 AM PST by Mad Dawgg (French: old Europe word meaning surrender)
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To: PeteFromMontana
Williams makes sense EXCEPT for the fact that technology replaced these people... as opposed to different people replacing the existing people in their jobs.

The scenario that is taking place today is that these jobs are not being replaced by technology, but by RELOCATION to a lower wage paying area of the globe. You cannot take some of the "cherries" out of a cherry pie and expect the pie to be the same.

A quick analogy: The piano players working at the movie houses prior to "talkies" all lost there jobs to an industry ( sound recording ) that grew and flourished, initially, within the boundries and confines primarily of this Country.

When that happened we GREW and became financially bigger & stronger COLLECTIVELY. NONE of those piano players jobs were exported to foreign countries... what replaced them grew up right here in the U.S. out of that NEW sound recording technology that had emerged and those that sought jobs in that burgeoning new field.

What is occurring today is the continued selling of the idea that less "cherries" in the pie equal better opportunities.

Silly me... I had always thought that the BIGGER the pie the more people that could have a piece.
11 posted on 11/26/2003 10:36:43 AM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: meowmeow
My ancestors lived a hard life and died early. My father’s job was dirty and dangerous and he almost died several times (and others around him didn’t make it). I just have to try to not get fat while I sit on my @ss all day.

My grandfather had his head smashed to a jelly in a coal mining accident 20 years or so before I was born...Now I sit here making more money than he could even imaging doing "Systems Consulting" (whatever that is???)

I wish someone would have protected his job so I could be doing it now!!!

12 posted on 11/26/2003 12:50:16 PM PST by Onelifetogive
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