But the GOP got pounded in the midterms in Pennsylvania. And those polls were pretty accurate then. Overall they predicted the GOP to lose 30-40 House seats and that’s what happened.
The polls got a lot wrong in 2016. But that doesn’t mean they are always wrong or can just be blown off. Trump only won in Michigan by like 20,000 votes. Democrats can easily make that up in turnout/fraud in Detroit. And Trump only won PA by 60,000 votes. That’s 26 electoral votes right there. If we are going to sit here and pretend it’s impossible for the Democrats to win, then Trump won’t have a 2nd term.
Trump is well aware that Pa. will be close but I don't see Black voters in Philadelphia turning out in the numbers required to carry the state for Biden.