Total morons.
As of today, with McSally and Heller polling, Rs will expand their lead in the senate by 3 (ND, MO, FL) with MT, IN, and OH still tight and no real recent polling (Rosendale was up in MT, Donnelly up a couple in IN, and a bogus poll from an OH paper has Renacci down 13-—utter tripe. My guys tell me he may be down 2, but Rs have a massive registration lead of about 300,000). Also, both Blackburn and Cruz have nailed down their races. WV close-—I’m told Morrissey is about within 2, but Manchin knows how to work the good ol’ boy network and it’s hard to explain how he “MIGHT” have voted against K.
So, let’s say worst comes to worst, that would be a net pickup for the Rs of FOUR senate seats (let’s split MT and IN). But NJ appears to be for real. Hugin down there in last three polls 2, 2, and 1. We have had conflicting polls in WI with Vukmir down 2 and down 8. A lot there will depend on the pro-Walker turnout.
The races I see as gone are PA and MI.
As for the House, I’ve gone through this race by race. I have it as a 10-15 DemoKKKrat gain, meaning max they will fall short by 8-13 seats in the House. Remember, we have 2 D-R flips (MN), another pending flip in AZ1, and possibly 3 other flips out there, and Trump’s popularity is rising fast (5 points in every poll over the last 2 weeks).
So as of today, I don’t think we lose the House and we gain 4 in the Senate, net. But we gain SEVEN (more or less) Trumpers vs. Flakeys/Corkscreweds. Big, big power shift away from the RINOS.
Thanks for the detailed report.
I’m only familiar with the local races (re: PA and NJ), and your analysis is pretty spot on.
Thank you LS. Good information!!!