Posted on 02/06/2017 7:07:29 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
By one measure, Wisconsin was the most important state in the nation in November. According to FiveThirtyEights tipping-point calculation, it was the state that put Donald Trump over the top to 270 electoral votes and the White House. (Or at least arguably it did: Pennsylvania has a competing tipping-point claim.1
) So heres an interesting question: How many times did Hillary Clinton visit Wisconsin during the general election? The answer: Zip, zilch, nada. She didnt set foot in the Badger State after losing the Democratic primary there to Sen. Bernie Sanders in April.2
So, case closed, right? Clinton had an incompetent Electoral College strategy and maybe even blew the election because of it? Well, yes and no. She probably should have campaigned in a broader range of states. In particular, she should have spent more time in states, such as Wisconsin, where she was narrowly leading in polls but that had the potential to flip to Trump if the election tightened, as it did during the final 10 days of the campaign.
This very probably didnt cost Clinton the election, however and the importance of Electoral College tactics is probably overstated in general. Im going to save that discussion for the next article in this series, but in the meantime I come in praise of Trumps Electoral College approach and in criticism of Clintons. Indeed, Trump was pretty close to having an optimal Electoral College strategy as judged by our tipping-point calculation. Clinton made a couple of mistakes, meanwhile. So did campaign reporters, who usually lauded Clintons strategy while maligning Trumps, making essentially the same errors that the Clinton campaign did.
Which states did the candidates consider to be most important? Perhaps the best gauge is simply where Clinton and Trump spent their time....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
IMO, it boiled down to the American male, He just got sick of this insolent woman crap. Men built this country and men will save this country.
Hillary took off almost the whole month of August....it did not go unnoticed.
Hillary campaigned as hard as she could and it almost killed her. If she had done anything more she would have self destructed. People were on to the body doubles so she really couldn’t use them.
Dems had too much faith in the strength of their “blue wall”. Now that they see that they don’t enjoy the electoral advantage they thought they enjoyed, the electoral college is racist and unfair and we need a direct popular vote.
I think it was because they underestimated him. I hope that is the case now with this judicial coup.
Data from Gateway Pundit
That was the constant theme throughout the campaign. Derision and overconfidence from day 1. Now that he is President the derision continues but their confidence has been shattered.
jesus. it would be awesome if you would keep your “we like our wimmins barefoot and pregnant” theory to yourself.
I’m sure the american left — the MSM, the clintonians, the abortionists, and everyone else on the looney left — would absolutely swoon. you’re their poster boy for the mysogynistic right. in fact, they probably didn’t know you existed (other than their imagination) until you actually started talking.
The Dems perfected black-box AND paper ballot fraud in 2012. Our side was shocked to lose.
The world then ordered the software for THEIR elections, and were not in the least concerned DJT would win. They’d based their future globalist plans on zero’s vote fraud regimen.
The whole planet was shocked when the vote fraud didn’t ‘fix in’. James O’Keefe got to the coders who design screens for the thousands of precincts that use them. He exposed them, and their code didn’t get loaded. The layers of plausible deniability explains why HRC, zero, and the world Left couldn’t know that the fraud was intercepted, and fell apart.
she lost the general election in 2016 for the same reason that she lost the dem nomination in 2008; she played to not lose, and was beaten by an opponent that ran an aggressive, innovative campaign.
There’s ALWAYS an implication in these articles that Hillary dropping into a state will increase her numbers.
While that was certainly true with Trump, given his supporters (i.e., it’s difficult to see anyone leave a Trump rally without being willing to go out of their way to vote for him) I always wondered about that with Hillary.
Perhaps their internal polling showed that it’s better to simply flood the airwaves with air-brushed commercials, than to force Working Class men to have to confront the raw deal...and so, they kept her out of those areas.
If I’m right, eventually someone will spill that...but it may be a while.
So much was said about Hillary’s “ground game,” but as it turned out, the far smarter and more strategically adept ground-game effort was Trump’s.
Well if it helps if the democraps are not telling lies and believing their own lies and faked polls. The reason Hillary did not campaign in WI (and much of MI) is because they believed their own lies and thought they had it in the bag.
Wait!!! Water is wet?
A friend described (before the election) that the deterioration of Detroit was “whitening” Michigan as a whole; that certainly played a part in breeching the “blue wall” - along with the fact that many black men disliked her (you know, the “super-predators”).
If Trump can have an impact in those states, Dems will have to invest a lot of time & money in states they took for granted for a quarter of a century.
And it bears repeating, that the electoral vote is decisive. The campaigns would be run differently, if here was a need to win a plurality or majority of the popular vote to win election.
Hilary won Calif by about 3 million votes, I think? If popular vote was decisive, Trump may have gone to Calif to chip away at that margin. But him having done so would have made no difference in the electoral vote.
I don’t believe Hillary thought this was a sure thing (in private); when she was campaigning for votes in the Deep Ghetto (in Philly, rather than the suburbs that had been reliably Democrat as well) shortly before the election, while Trump was venturing into those states Republicans hadn’t won since the 1980s, it was very clear that both sides knew what was unfolding.
With the way Scott Walker handled the ‘rats and unions in Wisconsin over the last several years - winning how many recall votes and putting unparalleled limits on the unions - I wasn’t surprised at all that it went Republican in 2016.....
I am strongly beginning to suspect that the Democrats' vaunted "ground game" has never existed. It has only been a narrative cover for vote fraud.
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