Lets assume about 80% of absentee ballots are returned and assume REP lead by 3%, say 43% to 40% with the rest Independents/Other.
3,230,314 total absentee ballots mailed as of today
2,584,251 total returned (3,230,314 * 0.8)
1,111,227 - REP 43% (2,584,251 * 0.43)
1,033,700 - DEM 40% (2,584,251 * 0.40)
77,527 REP Lead Predicted in ABSENTEE BALLOTS
Please clarify and adjust if necessary.