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To: SpeedyInTexas

Lets assume about 80% of absentee ballots are returned and assume REP lead by 3%, say 43% to 40% with the rest Independents/Other.

3,230,314 total absentee ballots mailed as of today

2,584,251 total returned (3,230,314 * 0.8)

1,111,227 - REP 43% (2,584,251 * 0.43)

1,033,700 - DEM 40% (2,584,251 * 0.40)

77,527 REP Lead Predicted in ABSENTEE BALLOTS


5 posted on 10/26/2016 5:55:03 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas
Nice job. I appreciate the effort. However, you don't make it clear whether you are comparing 2016 totals to same date in 2012 - or - same number of days until election day. Election day in 2012 was two calendar days earlier.

Please clarify and adjust if necessary.

10 posted on 10/26/2016 6:00:34 AM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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