Trump is resonating with the rustbelt. If the election were held today, Wisconsin and North Carolina could be the key states.
Romney states (including NC) + FL + OH + IA plus 10 (could be WI) = 269 and victory in the House.
We’re close in CO, PA, MI and NH, and ahead in NV and ME-1. IN (Pence) looks solid for us, while VA (Kaine) looks solid for them.
But, if Trump continues to move the dial, not only does VA become possible, so does MN, NJ, DE, ME, RI, OR and NM.
A WHOLE NEW MAP!
PLUS we’re looking good in he House (generic congressional ballot) and in the key Senate races. We may even add to our Governors and state legislatures.
THINK BIG!!!
Thats why I wish Trump were working harder on winning WI. Hes only been there twice since the end of the primaries. NV + NH would make up for WIs 10 electoral votes in your scenario, but hes only made one single general election stop in NV, while NH looks at least as questionable as WI as far as Trump winning it goes. Of course, if he wins PA and its many electoral votes, then the situation changes drastically, but he needs to keep as many pathways to the presidency open as possible. Trump has been working very hard on winning Virginia (hes made 7 stops there since the primariesthe same as PA), so his people must see it as doable still.