[Washi]

Second-guessing Nate Silver doesn’t usually turn out so well.

[entropy12]

Nate Silver never projected Trump to be the front runner 6 months ago. Silver has been wrong on many occasions. Google it.

[9YearLurker]

Shedlock is a phenomenon himself.

[LS]

Sure did for the Israelis, the Scots, and so on. He has been wrong as often as right.

[Yashcheritsiy]

Meh. Silver’s track record is not that great.

[LNV]

Silver has gotten Trump, as well as other predictions, wrong many, many times. Silver got his chops predicting Obama’s win in 2008 exactly, and he’s made a career out of that one great prediction since. His website is good for looking up data, but his analysis is often faulty, and he has consistently underestimated Trump.

http://www.salon.com/2016/02/11/nate_silver_is_having_a_bad_election_why_he_should_tell_us_if_he_thinks_hes_made_a_mistake/

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/01/nate_silver_said_donald_trump_had_no_shot_where_did_he_go_wrong.html

http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/03/nate-silver-donald-trump-prediction

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/

http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2015/05/nate-silver-polls-are-failing-us-206799

http://fortune.com/2016/03/12/trump-nate-silver/