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1 posted on 02/20/2016 3:32:38 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump will be first and Rubio might pull out a strong 2nd, or a tie with Cruz.

Past that, there wont be any suprises.


2 posted on 02/20/2016 3:53:43 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The two polls with the most overt immaculate surges disagree. NBC/WSJ has Trump falling to a Cruz surge. Opinion Savvy has a Rubio doing the same. This is evidence of something which smells like cooks in a kitchen cooking two competing pots of minestrone soup, and one eating to put extra oregano in, and the other demanding more garlic. In truth, the good pot of soup needs a balance of flavors. Three tracking polls, Emerson, ARG, and the SC.House Caucus all show fairly flat for Trump in low to mid 30s with the others vying for 2nd in the high teens, with a topping out at about 20. We will see in about 12 hours. If the tracking polls are off, and one of the pots of soup turns out to be tasty. If this is the case, it will prove that craps shoot is the name of the game in polling. Important because the GOP CAUCUS is in Nevada on Tuesday


3 posted on 02/20/2016 3:59:20 AM PST by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
All of these polls coming out all of the time with varying results, gives each candidate's supporters grist for telling anyone who will listen, that their guy is winning or pulling ahead or that their opponent is slipping and falling behind.

It reminds me of a statistics class I took as a graduate student in business. The text for the class was entitled, "How To Lie With Statistics."

We spent a good portion of that semester talking about how you can take the same set of numbers and come up with any result you wanted, depending on how you interpreted them. 1+ 1 didn't always = 2.

7 posted on 02/20/2016 6:08:21 AM PST by HotHunt
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