Ohio must go to Romney, I believe it will and comfortably by at least 250,000 votes.
Remember more than 200,000 voters where purged from Cuyahoga County. O’Bumbler won Cuyahoga County by almost 250,000 votes.
I also think he is going to win Ohio and it won't be close.
All of these polls are using 2008 as their model and it isn't going to be anything like 2008.
The last two debates showed who exactly is in the WH and the American People are going to make a change in 2012.
Remember the WI recall polls being close and then it turning into an easy win for the GOP.
The difference was a massive get out the vote effort which was not factored in the polls.
The ground game is going to win this election and the motivation isn't there for the Democrats.
Assuming Romney won FL, VA, and CO (which currently show he is ahead), the combination of NV, IA, and Maines split vote is enough even if he lost OH.
Romney wins all the solid red states
Adds CO, VA, NC, FL, NH, and WI, along with 1EV in ME and he is at 272 - victory.
Under this scenario, he doesn’t need OH or PA. Romney has a number of routes to 270, O-man has to practically run the table of remaining toss ups. He must have a major reversal of public sentiment to have a chance. Its probably not going to be close enough for cheating to make a difference.