I’ve said this for months, and nothing has made me change my mind on this at all...
This thing isn’t even close and never was. I am not saying all the pollsters are manipulating data, though its BLINDINGLY obvious some of them are.. but the polls are just not picking up what’s going on on the ground.
I believe Obama has ZERO chance at any state where got 55% of the vote in 2008 or less, PERIOD. I believe Obama has an absolute popular vote max nationally in the 42-43% range and very possibly could end election day with less than 40% of the vote.
Now with Rand’s caviat, I am fallable.. but I have talked to so many people from so many different backgrounds and walks of life, political, socioeconomical, age, race, religion, creed.. and the support for Obama just isn’t there, I don’t care what the polls are saying.
I know anectdotal evidence doesn’t prove anything... but I am going OUT OF MY WAY to talk to known democrats, life long democrats, of all races.. and easily, easily 20% are openly stating they will not vote for Obama in 2012 and more than a few openly attack the guy in far worse words than anything I would use. “Swing” voters I talk to are easily 2-1 against Obama... Republicans are ROCK SOLID in their intent to get to the polls and vote, while Romney may not give them that old tingle down their legs, the hatred of Obama and the recognition of how he’s been a destructive force for America is universal. Now those that tend to be for Obama, I’ve talked to are more often than not fall into 2 categories insanely RABIDLY for him, or just I vote democrat, period types... that’s it. The overall support just isn’t there that I am seeing for this guy, the the absolute disgust with him is universal.
In fact the only place I consistely find SOLID support for OBama are folks in Academia, that’s about it.. no other group, traditionally democratic or not that I have spoken with remotely is solid for the guy. Blacks, whom I have spoke to, while I am sure Obama will win the majority of their vote in November, don’t remotely seem enthusiastic about it.. I know he’s going to take a huge percentage, but I don’t think it’ll be ANYWHERE near the 95% he got in 08.
“In fact the only place I consistently find SOLID support for OBama are folks in Academia”
In other words America-socialists want one of their own to win. This will never change as a long as draft-dodging American socialists dominate academia in this country.