Virginia could be play. NOVA is growing fast and is more liberal than the rest of the state. I don’t think he will win but it is not outside of the realm of possibility. If Mitt does really poorly in debates or has gaffes I think Florida could possibly come into play though I doubt it.
WTOP POLL: Obama 48, Romney 46 in northern Va.!!
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2916146/posts
I was at the Manassas (Northern VA) rally Saturday. There were at least 10k people there. A couple of weeks ago my wife met a friend in Leesburg (Northern VA) to go shopping on the day that Zero happened to be having a rally there. She said she was worried about traffic and crowds, but there was no one there for Obama. Anecdotal I know, but encouraging nonetheless.