Posted on 01/26/2006 6:10:41 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
Elected to the 68th Assembly District, Van Tran is the first Vietnamese-American to serve in the California State legislature. Throughout his term in the Assembly, Van Tran has enjoyed national media exposure, and has become one of the most popular figures in Orange County Republican circles.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanchronicle.com ...
Van Tran is a rising star. He deserves all the support Orange County conservatives can give him.
I have met him he has my vote good man
Great to hear that he's running for the state senate. He would make a fine Congressman some day.
Speaking for myself, I look forward to that day.
Whose Congressional district is he currently within ?
It says Tran's main district office is located in Costa Mesa, and that's in Dana Rohrabacher's bailiwick. I thought Garden Grove was in Linda's flaky sis, Loretta Brixey's, district ?
Tran lives in Garden Grove.
His assembly district crosses CD lines apparently, I should add.
I haven't had the pleasure of visiting "The O.C." The closest I've come is San Diego & Riverside Counties. Those darn Rodney King riots changed our travel plans to traverse the coast north of La Jolla up to L.A.
As for Tran, I hope he does indeed challenge Miss Loretta. She is one of the biggest embarrassments of the CA delegation. If Loretta goes, Linda will implode without her puppetmaster, and we'll get that seat, too. :-D
I guess I mixed up Linda and Loretta. Memory is the second thing to go, when you age. My best advice is to not get old. :)
I was born a dusty old fart.
I think Garden Grove is in Loretta Sanchez's CD, but that wouldn't be a good district for him to run in. It is 65% Hispanic and surprised everyone by giving President Bush 50% in 2004 (after giving him only 41% in 2000), so our only chance of beating Loretta would be with a Hispanic Republican who beats up on Loretta's socially liberal views and votes.
There will probably be a new district in Orange County after the 2010 Census (CA will pick up 1 or 2 seats, and Orange County is growing faster than most of the rest of the state), so Tran will probably have an opportunity to run for Congress in a Republican district; remember, as a CA state senator, he will represent more people than are in congressional district in the state.
I went to the census web site, and Orange County is growing slower than CA as a whole, even though as you said it's growing faster than some parts of the state. From 2000 to 2004, the population rose from 2,846,289 to 2,987,591. I don't think the growth is there to add a new seat. The best anyone can hope for is that growth in Riverside and San Diego Counties leads to a new seat there and a reshuffling of Orange County districts, but I don't think anything can help Tran move up.
I think you're mistaken. Edward Royce is his Congressman. Though it would be a fortunate break if he did live in Loretta Sanchez's district.
I'm surprised to hear that OC is growing slower than the state as a whole; that's a reversal of the trend over the past few decades. But the OC CDs will still likely shuffle around a bit, since (i) LA is growing slower than average, so LA districts will have to expand outward into OC and (ii) Riverside and Northern San Diego are growing fast (as you mentioned).
If part of Tran's senate district is in Royce's CD, then we'll have to see where Royce runs after 2010 redistricting.
After the rematch with Bob Dornan in '98, we've run 3 Hispanics (Gloria Matta Tuchman-2000, Jeff Chavez-2002, and Alexandria Coronado-2004), and they've not performed up to expectations. Running a Conservative Hispanic ought be the cincher, but we just haven't found the magic candidate, yet. I don't think it would particularly hurt running Tran, as he would be the highest-profile candidate to date (and the one with the most legislative experience).
"There will probably be a new district in Orange County after the 2010 Census (CA will pick up 1 or 2 seats, and Orange County is growing faster than most of the rest of the state), so Tran will probably have an opportunity to run for Congress in a Republican district; remember, as a CA state senator, he will represent more people than are in congressional district in the state."
As was mentioned in the thread, the O.C. might actually have to expand its existing districts out further because the growth may not be enough to keep what it currently has. Depending upon whom is in power from 2010-2012, the Democrats may feel more pressure to reduce our Congressional numbers down into the teens (a la the Burton Gerrymander) to help them regain the House, and if they obtain 55 seats in total, may try to push to grab 40 of the seats (up from the 33 we have now). It would be highly creative (not to mention undemocratic), but Burton squeezed a 28-17 advantage (despite only receiving 200k more votes overall -- and that largely due to the gerrymander itself, since many potentially competitive Republicans didn't bother to run in those lines - and we had 500k more people voting in the Senate race). We're still clearly underrepresented with the number of seats we have now (20 GOP/33 'Rat), and unless we can overcome that in seats that should have GOP Reps (like Loretta Sanchez's, or Lois Capps'), I won't expect the 'Rats to remedy that situation.
It seems that's the 3rd Rep. that Tran's Senate seat would cover. His district office is clearly in Rohrabacher's seat, his home is in Loretta Sanchez's, and now you cite Ed Royce. Quite an overlap, it seems (but then, Senate seats cover larger areas than Congressional ones in CA).
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