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Did Asteroids And Comets Turn The Tides Of Civilization?
Discovering Archaeology ^ | July/August 1999 | Mike Baillie

Posted on 07/11/2002 1:56:44 PM PDT by blam

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To: Sam Cree
Comets And The Bronze Age Collapse
21 posted on 07/11/2002 7:59:10 PM PDT by blam
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To: parsifal
"Fascinating post! Didn't Igor Velikovsky say some of this about 50 years ago? parsy."

Yes, some of it. (He's one of the reasons reputable scientists largely shun this subject today.)

22 posted on 07/11/2002 8:03:26 PM PDT by blam
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To: another cricket
Ben Rudder, an anthropologist who reviewed in New Scientist magazine a recently published book (Exodus To Arthur) by Baillie on the subject, wrote :

"If Baillie is right, history has overlooked probably the single most important explanation for the intermittent progress of civilisation. Worse, our modern confidence in benign skies is foolhardy, and our failure to appreciate the constant danger of comet "swarms" is the result of a myopic trust in a mere 200 years of "scientific" records."

Baillie himself notes that :

"There is, I feel, a strong case for the contention that we do not inhabit a benign planet. This planet is bombarded relatively often. If this story is correct, we have been bombarded at least three times - and probably five times - since the birth of civilisation some 5,000 years ago. And each time, the world was changed."

In their book "The Origin Of Comets", Bailey, Clube, and Napier write :

"the destruction and chaos accompanying the fate of the Roman empire [midway through the First Millennium] was all but total, the almost complete breakdown of the old order leading to a loss of the accumulated knowledge and wisdom of antiquity which was far from temporary."

23 posted on 07/11/2002 8:20:20 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Nope, somehow missed it. (Been busy here, many screens open, etc.) Printing it out now. Thankx.
24 posted on 07/11/2002 8:27:28 PM PDT by LostTribe
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To: another cricket

Carolina Bays

(Most people do not know that there are 500,000 of these spread across the east coast of the US. Some think they are Tunguska type explosions/near impacts from comet fragments)

25 posted on 07/11/2002 8:28:10 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Hmmm. Looks like a photo of a lake after someone threw a handful of gravel in the water. Nice little ovals like that are not natural. Glad I wasn't taking a stroll in that area when the rocks were falling.

a.cricket

26 posted on 07/11/2002 8:34:34 PM PDT by another cricket
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To: blam
Fascinating article, BTTT!
27 posted on 07/11/2002 10:45:15 PM PDT by Djarum
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To: Djarum; VadeRetro; Sabertooth; Carry_Okie; Ernest_at_the_Beach
Disaster That Struck The Ancients
28 posted on 07/12/2002 5:42:04 AM PDT by blam
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To: sheik yerbouty; crystalk; Lessismore; Jay W; LadyDoc; Junior; A.J.Armitage; janus
Comments?
29 posted on 07/12/2002 5:49:13 AM PDT by blam
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To: aruanan; JasonC; Justa; Saint George; The_Reader_David; redhead; ScottF; Citizen Tom Paine
Comments?
30 posted on 07/12/2002 5:51:32 AM PDT by blam
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To: B4Ranch
Another data point.
31 posted on 07/12/2002 7:02:46 AM PDT by Carry_Okie
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To: blam
Many thanks. Another piece in the puzzle. Looks like I am going to have to collect these papers and start a scatter plot of dates.
32 posted on 07/12/2002 7:14:30 AM PDT by Carry_Okie
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To: Carry_Okie; blam
blam, please add me to your ping list for everything on this subject. Thanks

Thank you for the ping, Carry Okie

33 posted on 07/12/2002 7:24:46 AM PDT by B4Ranch
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To: blam
Well, I guess the severe enviromental downturn back in the 6th century proves that there was a large human population producing huge amounts of CO2, driving SUVs, and engaging in conspicuous consumerism with scarcely a thought for the health of their planet! The creeps! We could have had a U.N.and a worldwide society of peace and love millennia ago had it not been for these capitalist pigs!
34 posted on 07/12/2002 7:55:22 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: B4Ranch
"blam, please add me to your ping list for everything on this subject. Thanks"

Sorry, I don't have a ping list. I just call up people who have expressed an interest in the past, also, I don't know how to do a ping list anyway. These posts usually end up either in my bookmarks or in the Gods, Graves, Glyphs files set up by Ernest_at_the_Beach. I will try to remember to ping you.

35 posted on 07/12/2002 8:44:40 AM PDT by blam
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To: Carry_Okie; B4Ranch
"Many thanks. Another piece in the puzzle. Looks like I am going to have to collect these papers and start a scatter plot of dates."

Baillie says the significant dates that show up in the tree rings are: 3195BC, 2354BC, 1628BC, 1159BC, 540AD and two 'minor' events at 207BC and 44BC. All these events, except the 540AD one, are recorded in the ice core (acid layer=volcano) data. The lack of data (acid layer)for the 540AD event in the ice cores leads him to suspect a celestial connection.

36 posted on 07/12/2002 8:53:06 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Yes, I have a comment. I don't believe a word of it, it reads like idle hype. I focused on the 540 AD claim in particular, and the one in 208 BC about which much less is said in the article. Both of these occurred in historical times from which we have reasonable records. And there seems to be no evidence for them besides the tree rings, which for all the article says may be quite local. It does note an absence of confirmation of the 540 date from Greenland ice cores. So all they have there is "it was probably cold for around six years wherever these trees were". The heroic extrapolation from that to what the theory wants is far too heroic.

Moreover, it is silly to say the dark ages started then in some grand cataclysm. The dark ages began much earlier and were not a grand cataclysm but a slow historical process. The causes of which were not written on the sky, but in perfectly understandable and perfectly boneheaded practices of the governors of the Roman empire, in lost wars, etc. Whether the article writers like it or not, grand historical events of entirely human making are far too common to need explanation by such distant and esoteric causes.

Then there are particular claims like multi-megaton impacts every 50 years. This seems incredibly unlikely, given that all of one has ever been even remotely documented in all of recorded history, a little less than 100 years ago. By hypothesis, there were 7 others since the time of Galileo. Where are they? Where is any observation of their effects? Not even one in any location where anybody would see any aftermath?

Then there is the idea that it must be associated with comets. Um, how? A full straight on hit by an entire comet would indeed be spectacular enough, and on geological timescales (millions and hundreds of millions of years) is believeable enough. But cometary debris? Give me a break. It is more rarified than snow, and the same composition. Tossing it in seems entirely an appeal to ridiculous astrological beliefs of the distant past, which were based on entirely false ideas of what they were in the first place, let alone what they caused.

The hard realities of the matter are that sure, stuff from space can and does hit the earth, but also recorded history is but the flies of summer compared to the time scales involved in such solar system phenomena. A few thousands years is nothing, and that is all there is any real record of. As for 1159 BC and 1628 BC, the idea that anybody knows anything truly reliable about them is pretty silly, let alone shifting dates of civilizational events clear around the globe by 70 years arbitrarily. Let alone the idea that civilizational changes need any such esoteric and remote causes, when we know perfectly well that e.g. Dorians arriving can make a Greek "dark age", and Germans arriving a western European one, and Mongols arriving can revamp China, etc. There are about 100 times too many big civilizational shifts to map all of them to impacts from space.

Moreover, such explanations have a long and entirely dubious history. Sunspots and a solar minimum are suppose to explain the crisis of the early 17th century, for example. Little things like the Reformation or the 30 years war depopulating central Europe are supposed to be mere aftershocks. Yeah right. And Gustavus Adolphus was fated by a meteor, and born under the sign of whatever, too. Praetorian guards selling the empire to the highest bidder, dozens of civil wars, whole nations invading the empire, ridiculous economic practices, systematic slavery, declining population induced by all of the above and by changes in morals, are all supposed to not matter at all. Which is rather like Kim Il Sung blaming 7 years of famine in North Korea on the weather.

37 posted on 07/12/2002 11:00:49 AM PDT by JasonC
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To: JasonC
"Yes, I have a comment. I don't believe a word of it.

That would have been sufficient.

38 posted on 07/12/2002 1:44:07 PM PDT by blam
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To: Constitution Day; yoe; DensaMensa; DreamWeaver; Alas Babylon!; Bahbah; vannrox; tet68; ...
Comments?
39 posted on 07/12/2002 2:38:04 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Yo, Blam. I think it has something to do with the phases of the moon.
40 posted on 07/12/2002 3:03:58 PM PDT by LostTribe
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