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Polling, the state of the race, and varia
self | 11/10/2023 | LS

Posted on 11/10/2023 5:34:13 PM PST by LS

Hi everybody, I don't get a chance to post here as much any more because my M-F "Today's News" column at www.uncoverdc.com takes a LOT of time. It's free. I usually take the top 20-40 stories in politics, culture, economics, and entertainment, but rely on FR for some really outside stories that the mainstream Hoax News media misses---and of course I add my own nick names and spin. (My two favorites are Nick Knack Paddywhack Give a Uke a Bomb for Haley and White Lizzo for Christy).

At any rates, just thought I'd drop in with a few thoughts. *The GOP primary is over. I said it was over in March. Nothing changed. RCP average now has Trump up 44 points. This week two of DeSoros's biggest donors bailed and joined Team Trump. *Trump continues to lead Rutabaga (Biden) in almost every poll and in almost every state. For ex., today Morning Consult has Trump +7 over Rutabaga in GA, where "Trump can't win." Trump is up 2-8 points in ALL the battleground states save MI, where he is either tied or down 1 to the Demented Pervert. Nationally, Trump leads most polls by 2-5 points. *Baris has this as "outside the margin of fraud," especially considering that the DemoKKKrats will only have a month to cheat vs. about 5 months of "mule-in-voting" in 2020. Numerous---not enough, but several---states have made election integrity changes.

I guess when asked why they won't cheat their way out of this one as well, my answer is twofold, mostly the time frame, but also Trump NEVER LED IN A SINGLE NATIONAL POLL (maybe a couple of outliers) in 2020. Many polls had Rutabaga up 7-8 in MI, WI, even OH where Trump won by 8. But second (unlike some here), I retain a deep faith in the American people.

I believe they are willing to look the other way once. Take for ex, the China Virus Vax/lockdowns. 82% took the first vax. Barely 50% the second; and today, less than 26% will take another. There is a cognitive dissonance at work. You don't want to believe you may have been emotionally railroaded into killing granny or a teen. But privately you won't do it again.

I think many Americans in 2020 did not want to believe such fraud could exist, but looking at polls, now almost 2/3 think 2020 involved fraud. I don't think they will tolerate it a second time. But that's just my opinion.

Let's look at recent elections. First, Glen Youngkin was NEVER a national candidate. I'm not surprised at VA: Youngkin won on having the right issue (no transoids in school/parental rights) at precisely the right time. He was so successful that issue to some degree was off the table for VA Rs in the last election. Second, as Baris and Trafalgar independently showed, the LANGUAGE of the abortion debate is key. When it becomes trimesters Rs lose. When it's "babies," they win. The pro-life lobby, which I support, had numerous low-hanging fruit victories if they had gone with more moderate bills. That would have saved MILLIONS of lives. But by going for what the Hoax Media calls more extreme laws, they lost. Baris shows they could have won with better messaging and less restrictions. It's a debate Rs and pro-life are gonna have to have. Do you want the purity of the position or the reality of saved lives?

RFK, polling is showing is drawing some from Trump in PA and WI key precincts. He draws from NON-college, working class, Trump-leaning DemoKKKrats. I think the good news is that the more he is out there and spewing his crazier views, the more people he loses. However, for now many people are "parking" their votes with him---but in a real election they won't waste a vote. ALSO, he cannot (nor can West) get on AZ or GA ballots (too hard) but may get in PA, MI, WI. Jill Stein, however, CAN get on these ballots (all has to do with state laws. Rich went through all these laws about a month ago).

Mostly, polls are now showing Trump leading with labor, getting high 40s of Hispanics and 26% of blacks. Unheard of. It he clears 15% of blacks and gets to 40% of Hispanics there ain't enough menopausal Karens in the U.S. suburbs or enough mules to bail Rutabaga out.

Also, I believe Rutabaga WILL be the nominee. a) He is always underestimated, and b) They can't remove him without getting rid of Harris first, and so far they haven't figured out how to do this.

Finally, please check in with "Today's News" at www.uncoverdc.com five days a week. I have a new political commentary site, the Wild World of Politics (www.wildworldofpolitics.com) where I have an "Insider" subscription service with 3 political commentaries per week PLUS ongoing video lessons including Churchill, Reagan, and my latest, "Globalism: Then and Now" from my newest book due out in Feb with Steve Bannon's War Room, "A Patriot's History of Globalism: its Rise and Decline," due out in Feb.

Also, I have full curricula for US and World History for highschoolers at www.wildworldofhistory.com and there are GREAT "black friday" book offers up now. It takes a while for the publishers to send me the books, for me to pack, sign, and reship them, so if you are thinking Christmas gifts, next two weeks would be the right time.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: elections; polling; trump

1 posted on 11/10/2023 5:34:13 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

Awesome report, thank you.


2 posted on 11/10/2023 6:30:28 PM PST by Trumpisourlastchance
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To: LS

I wondered why you seemed to have disappeared from posting/commenting, thanks for the update with al the info.


3 posted on 11/10/2023 6:53:25 PM PST by b4me
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To: LS

BTTT
Great info.


4 posted on 11/10/2023 6:53:34 PM PST by SharpRightTurn (“Giving money & power to government is like giving whiskey & car keys to teenage boys” P.J. O’Rourke)
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To: LS

Man, if humblegunner were still here you would be toast!


5 posted on 11/10/2023 7:28:19 PM PST by spel_grammer_an_punct_polise (Land is simply a place I visit until I can return to the sea.)
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To: LS

What is AZ doing to stop the Maricopa County fraud from 2020 and the blatant in your face fraud from 2022? Kari aiming to take on Simena? Abe and Blake going to battle over AZ 8th? No recall effort for that idiot Katie Hobbs?


6 posted on 11/11/2023 9:53:40 AM PST by Tea Drinker (Live From Sunny Tucson)
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To: Tea Drinker

Recalls go nowhere. Kollyfornia was lucky in that Grey-out was in trouble and Arnie was unknown. We have done everything we can, and right at the last point when we can prove fraud the courts block or impose limits to examining sig match.

Lake probably can win a very close one in a three-way. No pun intended. But if it’s either Enema or Reuben Sandwich, she loses.


7 posted on 11/11/2023 4:09:49 PM PST by LS
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To: spel_grammer_an_punct_polise

That may be one reason I don’t bother to post here anymore. Just not worth it.


8 posted on 11/11/2023 4:10:20 PM PST by LS
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To: b4me

Thanks. Mostly, time. Between doing my free “Patriot’s History” reading on youtube at the Wild World Of History channel, around noon every MWF, my “Insider” political content MWF, and daily “Today’s News,” I’m drained.

BTW, the “Patriot’s History” reading is up to ch. 6 on Jackson. Just finished a long series of readings on the MO Compromise.


9 posted on 11/11/2023 4:11:46 PM PST by LS
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