Posted on 09/19/2022 7:29:31 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
538 or nate silver got LUCKY back in 2012, which made him famous.
The following midterms, his calculations were WAY OFF proving he was a one hit wonder. Then he goes into sports analysis, but was laughed off in MLB circles after Fangraphs made more solid outcomes.
Seems goofy. That's not his niche.
Will the counters overcount the Democrats again?
lefty ESPN always uses his site as reference because fellow leftards use other leftard sites for winning forecasts. The most obvious reference is obviously the Vegas lines from Bally’s or Caesar’s. They know what they’re doing.
You would have thought 538 would have lost all credibility when they gave Hillary a 87% chance of winning the 2016 election and then when she lost, all Nate Silver would say is, “We didn’t get it wrong, it just so happened that the 13% of Trump winning is what went down.”
I’ve thought for the past several national elections that these “overestimations” are polls intentionally designed to show greater supports for Dims than is reality. The purpose is to demoralize and discourage conservative voters.
I don’t think the polls will mean anything this time. The Feddies are going to steal the election for their RAT massahs this time.
They don’t have to overestimate all they have to do is count the 3 million plus illegals names who signed their name at the border.
Color election system rigged
When democrat rule they mean it.
EXACTLY
“Even among commenters who are analyzing the race from an arm’s-length distance, there sometimes seems to be a presumption that the polls will be biased toward Democrats.”
Ya think?
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