I may be too optimistic here, but I think we may see a new alliance formed in a second Trump term. Vietnam, India, Cambodia, Laos, Japan, Taiwan, S, Korea, Australia, and Singapore are all looking warily at an increasingly militant and aggressive China (and their proxy N. Korea).
Most of them have made moves to become closer to the US recently and Pompeo has talked before about an alliance of nations to contain China. Pompeo is clearly focused on China.
Trump is increasingly frustrated with NATO (in large part due to Germany) and he correctly sees that the major threat to the world is China (who is still many years away from being able to project power by the way).
They are working on new and improved trade agreements with many of those nations as we speak. Those nations are also withdrawing from China.
Who knows? The Trump administration thinks outside the box. New trade agreements and an alliance of nations against China is not out of the question in a second Trump term. China is certainly pushing things in that direction with their behavior this year.
Japan is also pushing forward in this direction and Japan is no joke - they remain a huge economic superpower and they are increasing their military spending and research annually.
Why not a SWATO (South Pacific and Asian Treaty Organization)? That would get old Xie’s shorts in a bind pretty quickly.
Time for P.acific O.cean T.reaty A.gainst. T.yrannical O.riental E.nemies.
China is becoming increasingly unstable politically under Xi who is now kicking critics out of the Party.
Isn’t that SEATO?