+25,450 NEW CASES
119,132 TOTAL DEAD
Posted on 06/17/2020 4:32:00 AM PDT by impimp
It’s just the flu, bro.
Things I am not panicking about: 1. The new strain of Wuhan flu hitting China 2. People who go to parties in defiance of limits to gathering size 3. Someone nearby me sneezing or coughing 4. The Wuhan flu “outbreaks” occurring all across America 5. 16 people testing positive after going to a Florida bar 6. Celebrities who contract Coronavirus 7. Just about any media headline about CV, like the 6 above, that is meant to make me panic
Things I am not panicking about: 1. The new strain of Wuhan flu hitting China 2. People who go to parties in defiance of limits to gathering size 3. Someone nearby me sneezing or coughing 4. The Wuhan flu “outbreaks” occurring all across America 5. 16 people testing positive after going to a Florida bar 6. Celebrities who contract Coronavirus 7. Just about any media headline about CV, like the 6 above, that is meant to make me panic
Ping. Freepmail Impimp to go on the ping list.
VP Pence wrote an op-ed saying there is no second wave, but expect the Fearpers to start on that angle.
Oh, the el-tee is back...
It’s been 89 days? Seems like forever.
Still no upturn in deaths in Florida, many weeks after re-opening.
The list wasn’t hard to make...I just looked for any of today’s headlines on drudge, fox and cnn related to CV and they automatically made the list. I think I might have missed a headline warning of a second wave of CV though.
With COVID-19 at “#2 with a bullet on the all-time flu charts” might be time for a “tag line” change....something like “It’s just the 1918 Spanish Flu, bro”...(may be too long)...or just “It’s just the 1918 flu, bro”.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/basics/past-pandemics.html
Looks like COVID will end up being stuck in the “#2” slot for all-time flu pandemics in the US...will be lucky end up with 1/3 of the 1918 flu fatality count as it is starting to drop off. (Barring a big second wave in the Fall).
Pennsylvania, despite massive increases in testing, is still down-trending in cases. Deaths down too.
New York and NJ are down to negligible levels now, in both cases and deaths, compared to their peaks.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-york/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-jersey/
NC has jumped up to 68% of the deaths from the virus have been in congregate living facilities.
That’s just about 7 out of 10 deaths.
The 1967 flu, in terms of deaths per million was worse and it was worse in terms of human years lost due to premature death.
I live an a so called spike area. Despite the upturn that is causing panic, our hospitals have 40% the numbers of CoVID patients at peak, and our EMS only reported one “protected” transport yesterday — down from 135 a day at peak (protected is their lingo for CoVID Suspect). Our hospitals are empty
The Governor of Florida yesterday addressed the spike. We are now testing all migrant workers and testing every nursing home in the state. Additionally numerous of the tests are (+) multiple times and reported as a discrete event.
The bottom line is this — we are testing for this disease neurotically. Rule number one of medicine, don’t test if you have no reason. We are testing with no good reason. This is the first test that the public can just go get for an acute illness on their own. Its bizarre
BUT, the (+) rate remains stable or is decreasing, testing is increasing, so simple math says, yeah, more cases. But what is fascinating to me is far less acuity.
This points toward either attenuation, OR that this thing is just really mild and only sets up to ARDS in the vulnerable elderly, just like every other LRI or URI.
There is definitive evidence that this is circulating since before the first of the year, and at its best, we were not overwhelmed.
It is time to get on with it
We’ll see....the COVID has 7 months to run.
Not even close. The numbers that are reported are suspect, and once adjusted for actual reality — its just the flu bro.
Texas has reported 14,993 available hospital beds, a 78 percent increase since mid-March.
Abbott said there is only one county in the state where 10 percent of hospital beds are taken up by COVID-19 patients. The average statewide is 6.3 percent, Abbott said.
State officials said hospitalizations remain at a “manageable level” and that the system is not at risk of being overrun by new COVID-19 patients at this point.
Here is the detail that the headline belies. Available hospital beds are 78% MORE than at peak. Only ONE county is reporting >10% Covid patients. The Hospital system is NOT at risk of being overrun.
Most, if not all, are pointing to massive testing. This, as you know better than anyone, is the Achilles heel of massive testing. But it paints a picture of a far milder disease.
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