Posted on 06/07/2020 7:03:16 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
“running as a challenger for an open seat is fundamentally different than running for reeelection as an incumbent.”
Or like 2016, polling sampling techniques are fundamentally different now, which is why polls tighten as the election draws closer. Plus Biden hasn’t even debated Trump yet, and Trump has barely started to campain. The election is still five months away and you can make the argument that Biden is peaking too early.
I would also add that the surveys were conducted pre jobs report where the numbers were unexpectedly good, which should help Trump as the economy continues to open up.
Utter nonsense, just like Hillary was going to win in a landslide.
Complete bunk.
Mostly because I’m worried. Quite worried about a Biden presidency and a Dem senate.
Of course this is shit.
Ping!
Anything to persuade voters. But it won’t work.
Newsweek Nov. 14, 2016 saying:
“If the election were held this week, the project estimates that Clinton’s odds of securing the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency at more than 95 percent, and by a margin of 118 Electoral College votes. It is the second week in a row that the project has estimated her odds so high.”
Of course, Hillary became our president and this is the reality we live with, today.
“Nov 15,” not “Nov 14.”
You didn’t even post the NYSlimes guy’s tweet, that your thread is ‘based on’ and links to....so, here ya go...
Alex Burns
@alexburnsNYT
2020 polling over the last week:
ABC/Post: Biden +10
Monmouth: Biden +11
NBC/WSJ: Biden +7
Fox: Biden +8
This can obviously change, but this is not currently a close race or one in which the Electoral College is a reasonably good insurance plan for Trump.
Sure, Alex @ NYSlimes
If you must worry, worry about the next meteor strike—far more likely.
I find these polls laughable.
Impossible. You’re telling me that Trump could lose 60,000 votes (total) in three states compared to 2016. Simply impossible.
What, exactly, is your point in posting this? Is it to motivate us? Is it because you are worried? Or, is it to demoralize? I don’t understand.
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If a hurricane is headed right at me I would hope someone tells me so I can take action to avoid it.
There is probably a hidden Trump vote out there which pollsters are not picking up on.
In the current social political climate, where everyone from the mainstream media to late night comedians heap abuse on Trump and anyone who would support Trump, it can make one wary of publicly supporting Trump , in a poll or in everyday conversation with people.
I recall years ago when state after state were voting to Define traditional marriage in their constitutions, the margin of victory for marriage was always far more than the polls suggested. And we all know why that was. It’s because homosexual marriage had become a politically correct cause and any opposed to homosexual marriage were depicted as bigots and Neanderthals. So people were reluctant to tell a pollster that they supported traditional marriage.
I think we see the same concept here as far as Trump support is concerned.
I expect the same Dynamic will be at play if we see polling on defunding police departments, or making certain police reforms in the wake of the George Floyd situation. The way the Liberals in the media present these issues , anybody opposed to the politically correct view of police activity is going to be negatively depicted. And that in turn will cause a certain number of people , if polled, to say that they support the politically correct view of the issue, whether they really feel that way or not.
I understand. Keep the faith. You are certainly not alone. Talk to as many people who you can. Telling the truth is like planting a seed, and many of those seeds will take root and grow.
Just wait for the debates.
You did the same thing in 2018 when some pointed out we might lose the house. You were one that said we’d gain ten seats. The head in the sand is not a good way to look at this election. We need to have a serious discussion on how to win in 2020. Democrats are registering people at the protests. We did register at trump rallies but since they haven’t occurred since February or March, I guess we are relying on people to register themselves. The protests will probably add hundreds of thousand of new voters to the rolls. Even if only half vote is not good for us.
Lol. Me too.
BALONEY
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