That’s cool.
Where do you get the numbers?
Covid-19 cases as of 3-16-20 compared with 2018 death rates for the Flu.
While Covid-19 has hardly competed its run, nor has the flu, yet for comparison with the flu we have the morality rate for the flu per state in 2017-2018 and total deaths, which I have provided along side the latest Covid counts (3-16-20 ) to the table below. Additional stats on the 2019-2020 Flu season are provided below the the table.
During the 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018, (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm) with older Americans dying at a rate of 169 Americans a day, or seven people per hour. (https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2018/older-flu-deaths-rising.html
And according to a later report by the CDC, for 2017-2018 season 80,000 people died of the flu in U.S, the highest death toll in 40 years. (https://www.usnews.com/news/health-care-news/articles/2018-09-27/cdc-80-000-people-died-of-flu-complications-last-season-in-us)
Meanwhile, for Covid, the NYT (3-13) sounded this alarm: “Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.” (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html)
Below is a list of states per currently reported COVID-19 infections (by NPR, as of 3-16-20) in comparison with population size (note that variations in reported cases are partly be due to how comprehensive testing can and has been done). Use an online calculator here, (see second row under “Percentage Calculator in Common Phrases,” and remove commas in population figure) for cases as a percent of population.
In any case, I pray that this crisis, both real and inflated, works to bring souls to realize the need for help from above, for repentance and mercy from God through faith in the risen Lord Jesus.
|
State |
Population |
COVID-19 cases |
Percent of infections by capita |
Deaths from COVID-19 (as of 3-12-20) |
Deaths from Flu in 2017-2018 (last available data from CDC) Over 80k total. Deaths were at or above epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks |
|
Washington (19 tied to one nursing home ) |
7,614,893 |
904 |
|
48 |
930 |
|
New York |
19,453,561 |
967 |
|
10 |
4,749 |
|
California |
39,512,223 |
557 |
|
7 |
6,917 |
|
Massachusetts |
6,949,503 |
197 |
|
|
1,441 |
|
Colorado |
5,758,736 |
160 |
|
1 |
568 |
|
Georgia |
10,617,423 |
121 |
|
1 |
1,530 |
|
Florida |
21,477,737 |
155 |
|
5 |
3.091 |
|
Illinois |
12,671,821 |
105 |
|
|
2,564 |
|
New Jersey |
8,882,190 |
178 |
|
2 |
1,465 |
|
Texas |
28,995,881 |
85 |
|
|
3,516 |
|
Oregon |
4,217,737 |
39 |
|
|
530 |
|
Pennsylvania |
12,801,989 |
77 |
|
|
2,887 |
|
Iowa |
3,155,070 |
23 |
|
|
697 |
|
Louisiana |
4,648,794 |
136 |
|
3 |
824 |
|
Maryland |
6,045,680 |
41 |
|
|
973 |
|
North Carolina |
10,488,084 |
38 |
|
|
2,064 |
|
District of Columbia |
705,749 |
22 |
|
|
N/A |
|
Indiana |
6,732,219 |
25 |
|
|
1,118 |
|
Nebraska |
1,934,408 |
18 |
|
|
394 |
|
South Carolina |
5,148,714 |
33 |
|
1 |
882 |
|
Wisconsin |
5,822,434 |
47 |
|
|
1,075 |
|
Arizona |
7,278,717 |
18 |
|
|
1,116 |
|
Virginia |
8,535,519 |
49 |
|
1 |
1.283 |
|
Kentucky |
4,467,673 |
21 |
|
|
969 |
|
South Dakota |
884,659 |
10 |
|
1 |
245 |
|
Nevada |
3,080,156 |
45 |
|
1 |
527 |
|
Tennessee |
6,833,174 |
52 |
|
|
1,646 |
|
Minnesota |
5,639,632 |
54 |
|
|
698 |
|
New Hampshire |
1,359,711 |
17 |
|
|
265 |
|
Rhode Island |
1,059,361 |
21 |
|
|
192 |
|
New Mexico |
2,096,829 |
17 |
|
|
365 |
|
Ohio |
11,689,100 |
50 |
|
|
2,395 |
|
Connecticut |
3,565,287 |
30 |
|
|
757 |
|
Utah |
3,205,958 |
39 |
|
|
353 |
|
Hawaii |
1,415,872 |
7 |
|
|
542 |
|
Michigan |
9,986,857 |
53 |
|
|
1,869 |
|
Oklahoma |
3,956,971 |
10 |
|
|
809 |
|
Vermont |
623,989 |
12 |
|
|
87 |
|
Arkansas |
3,017,825 |
22 |
|
|
670 |
|
Delaware |
973,764 |
8 |
|
|
167 |
|
Kansas |
2,913,314 |
11 |
|
|
630 |
|
Mississippi |
2,976,149 |
13 |
|
|
910 |
|
Missouri |
6,137,428 |
6 |
|
|
1,477 |
|
North Dakota |
762,062 |
1 |
|
|
152 |
|
Wyoming |
578,759 |
3 |
|
|
128 |
|
Alabama |
4,903,185 |
29 |
|
|
1,268 |
|
Idaho |
1,792,065 |
5 |
|
|
235 |
|
West Virginia |
1,787,147 |
0 |
|
|
539 |
|
Maine |
1,344,212 |
17 |
|
|
312 |
|
Montana |
1,068,778 |
7 |
|
|
152 |
|
Alaska |
731,545 |
1 |
|
|
68 |
|
Total (3-16) |
|
4,556 |
|
85 |
Over 80k. Above totals may be less. |
• As for the 2019-2020 Flu season:
|
2019-2020 Season |
|
|---|---|
|
Overall |
61.6 |
|
0-4 years |
88.9 |
|
5-17 years |
22.6 |
|
18-49 years |
32.8 |
|
50-64 years |
80.8 |
|
65+ years |
159.4 |
• Among 2,867 hospitalized adults with information on underlying medical conditions, 92.3% had at least one reported underlying medical condition, the most commonly reported were cardiovascular disease, metabolic disorder, obesity, and chronic lung disease. Among 472 hospitalized children with information on underlying medical conditions, 48.3% had at least one underlying medical condition; the most commonly reported was asthma. Among 477 hospitalized women of childbearing age (15-44 years) with information on pregnancy status, 27.5% were pregnant. (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap)(Retrieved 3-17-20)
• Outpatient Illness: ILINet Visits to health care providers for influenza-like illness (ILI) decreased from 5.5% last week to 5.3% this week. All regions remain above their baselines.
• Hospitalizations: The overall cumulative hospitalization rate for the season increased to 61.6 per 100,000.
• P&I Mortality: The percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza is 7.1%, below the epidemic threshold of 7.3%.
• Pediatric Deaths: 8 [more] influenza-associated pediatric deaths occurring during the 2019-2020 season were reported this week. The total for the season is 144. - https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm (Retrieved 3-17-20)
Thanks, that’s easy to read.
New deaths 3/17 = 23. (109 minus 86)
Total = 109
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Score = 21.1 (worse than Italy, Iran, Spain scores yesterday)