Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: VanDeKoik

You are not reading this correctly at all.

People who are still sick/infected are heading towards one of two outcomes - recovered or dead. These are *concluded* cases.

Look at is this way: 1,000 people get a new type of cancer at the same time. They all start chemotherapy or whatnot. While in treatment, they have yet to be cured or to die. When one of those two outcomes takes place, we can start determining the mortality rate. So, if 500 of them “conclude” their cases, with 250 dying and 250 recovering, we can see that half are dying off so far.

What’s going to happen to the other half? God only knows. It could be that the 250 that were cured were cured FAST and that the remaining 500 are all on their last legs. Or, it could be that the remaining 500 have one more treatment until being fully recovered. WE DON’T KNOW. We have NO IDEA what the disposition is of those cases in China is yet. Therefore, the ONLY data that makes sense to include in mortality rate is CONCLUDED CASES.


12 posted on 02/14/2020 10:15:15 AM PST by bolobaby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies ]


To: bolobaby

And the problem is that we have no idea the total number of people that has it.

So why is there a “mortality rate” calculation being made when people will just as assuredly tell you that you have to multiply the number of people with it according to the CCP by x10, x100, or whatever?

If 10x more people have it, and the confirmed dead is the same, then doesn’t that nose-dive the mortality rate?


14 posted on 02/14/2020 10:20:19 AM PST by VanDeKoik
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson