“The Dems looking for a Great White Hope to return the rust belt to them is comical... the fact they think Biden or Buttplug are going to be it for them is down right hysterical.”
We just had an election which had Nancy Pelosi retake the House by a wide margin, in a very high turnout midterm. Your confidence that Trump will be re-elected with certainty is misplaced.
“We just had an election which had Nancy Pelosi retake the House by a wide margin, in a very high turnout midterm. Your confidence that Trump will be re-elected with certainty is misplaced.”
Hardly, and here is the simple reasons why.
Midterms are NOT national elections, you can “nationalize” a midterm, but it is still not remotely the same thing.
Your argument is based on the same silliness that the Trump can’t win nevertrumpers et al were putting forth back in the 16 primary campaign, when the reality was the only GUARANTEED winner among the GOP field was Trump.
First thing that needs to be understood, and is not by people making this argument, is the simple and obvious reality... TRUMP’s base is NOT the GOP base, not even close. Yes, Trump commands 90% support among the GOP voters, but that’s NOT what Trump’s base is... Trump’s base is well beyond the GOP base... Truly understand that, and you understand the comical nature of Trump losing in 2020.
Well then if Trump’s base is so big, why did the GOP lose the Midterms? If you simply thing Trump is the GOP, then this should not have happened... but Trump is not the GOP, and there lies the Rub.
States redistrict about once every decade, and they are redistricted by the party in power in those states, the district makeups are designed, to benefit the party in power and play to their base. The existing district makeups, even in RED states, are not configured for the Trump Coalition, they are configured for the old school GOPe strengths.... They are not set up to leverage Trump’s supporters.
This was a fact I personally overlooked in 18 myself, and I will NEVER make that mistake again.
Secondly, Trump is Trump, and while Dems made the election about Trump, Trump was NOT on the ballot in 18... His voters, especially his not traditional GOP voters, are not going to just show up to vote for someone with an R beside their name... They support TRUMP... and when you put up a bunch of the same old hacks, running the same old stupid messaging and campaigns, you aren’t going to get any of those voters to the polls for you.
Third, the TAX law changes had consequences, if you look at the gains made by the Dems in 18, where were they mostly? In already deep blue states, who knew they were going to get hammered by the FED no longer subsidizing their high tax states with Tax Deductions for local and state taxes. So, yes, California and NY voted out many GOP folks, because, when your local state taxes and mtg deductions add up to 20k or more, and you now can’t write that off, and only get a 10k cap... You just took a major hit to your pocketbook.. and you are going to show up and vote your anger.
and Finally, the GOP honestly didn’t even take the damned field in much of the country in the MidTerms. McConnell et all focused on some senate races, and largely just conceded nearly all of the map that Trump had shown them how to win... Didn’t put candidates worth a damn anywhere in the upper midwest for Senate, and didn’t spend a DIME to support them as well. They literally ceded the map, and focused on a handful of senate races.
Trump is in absolutely ZERO danger of losing in 2020, short of, as I stated a complete economic meltdown, like the one George Bush faced in 1992, and the likelihood of that is damned low.
The GOPe lost the midterms, not Trump. If you think Trump’s in ANY sort of danger of losing in 2020, please tell me which state you believe he won in 16, but will lose in 20? The ONLY state that is remotely a possibility might be MI.. and that’s a long shot. The Odds of Trump Flipping states like NH and MN are as likely more more likely than the D’s taking MI.
I’ve heard this chicken little silliness before... I was one of the first people here to not only predict Trump was going to win the nomination in 16, but would win white house, and that he would do it by marching right up through the rust belt, taking every state here except for IL and MN. I was told by never Trumpers, Cruz Backers, GOPe hacks, and the rest that Trump couldn’t win and I was crazy... When it was CLEARLY obvious Trump was aiming right up through this part of the country for the White House, from right out of the gate.
Economy is humming, better than its been for most of Trump’s base, than it has been in nearly 2 decades, you think they are not going to show up? not going to vote for him? Trump has done something that no other GOP person was able to do, got the Democrats to drop their mask where they pretend they are not the radical leftists that they are... Hell even Creepy Uncle Joe, who was supposed to be their more “moderate” “likable” guy, couldn’t even announce his presidency bid without calling Trump Hitler... You think that’s going to sell?
You are free to believe I don’t know what I am talking about, I am beyond comfortable in my confidence of a Trump victory in 2020.. Not only a victory, but a re-election that will be by the largest margin since Reagan. No it won’t be a 49 to 1 win, but it will be the largest EC re-election since 1984, no doubt about it.
Folks telling you otherwise, are just either ignorant, or fear mongering, to keep your eyeballs glued to their click bait.