I think +5 is much closer to the mark. That’s what I’m predicting. Nelson, Tester, McCaskill, Donnelly and Heitkamp all lose. The Republicans hold onto seats in Tennessee, Arizona and Nevada.
Manchin and Menendez survive.
I agree with you, also Scott wins in Fl.
These are Toss ups?
AZ: Open (R)
FL: Nelson (D)
IN: Donnelly (D)
MO: McCaskill (D)
MT: Tester (D)
NV: Heller (R)
WV: Manchin (D)
Leans GOP
TN: Open (R)
TX: Cruz (R)
Likely GOP
MS2: Hyde-Smith (R)
ND: Heitkamp (D)
I think you’ve nailed it.