Er, did you miss AZ Lat week and TX yesterday? You mean red wave, right?
Where Ds have won-—outside of FL state house seat-—it’s been with record low turnout. CT house seat D won by 51 votes with TOTAL turnout of 3000. GA senate seat=9% turnout.
These local/state elections are viewed as a nuisance by our side.
Saccone may lose, but don’t buy “blue wave” tripe. AZ and TX are better indicators of the real blowout that is coming.
A series of special elections where a party wins a bunch of seats they haven’t held in a long time have been a pretty good predictor of mid-terms. Maybe this year is the big exception.
AZ and TX weren’t the general. They have been winning all these specials precisely because their base is turning out very heavily, which is due to two things, neither of which apply in primary elections:
1) The Dems’ methods for turning people out to the polls, which are very good. The Democrats aren’t trying to get people out to the polls in primaries. Individual candidates might be but not the Dem organization, which is very different.
2) The Democrat base’s hatred for Trump. That motivates high turnout with no need for the Democrats to even do anything.