Posted on 02/12/2018 5:54:52 PM PST by SMGFan
The Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot has slipped over the last few weeks. But Republicans have gradually lost advantages of their own. Slowly but surely, the considerable structural advantages — like incumbency, geography and gerrymandering — that give the Republicans a chance to survive a so-called wave election are fading, giving Democrats a clearer path to a House majority in November.
The Republicans still retain formidable advantages, enough to win the House while losing the popular vote by a wide margin. But their edge has shrunk considerably over the last few months, and even more over the last few years.
(And it concludes )
Even so, Democrats still seem poised to have viable if imperfect candidates in a large number of battleground districts. Upshot estimates indicate that Democrats would need to win the popular vote by 7.4 points — albeit with a healthy margin of error of plus or minus more than four points — to take the House. Today, most estimates put the generic congressional ballot very near that number. So far from the election, the fight for control remains a tossup.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Says the NY TIMES.
The NY TIMES also said Hillary had a 97% chance of winning the presidency.
@ScottAdamsSays 2018 is going to be a blood bath for the democrats.
I think the republicans should take DACA/Dreamers away from the democrats with the 4 point plan, we will need those people when the economy revs up and a lot will vote republican.
1) Voter registration changes in 12 out of 15 battleground states are overwhelmingly and consistently moving in R direction.
2) Funding is overwhelmingly in R favor.
3) The Sex Fund is lurking, and it will be proportionately MUCH worse for Ds, since so many Rs have already taken their lumps.
With impeccable information and polls brought to you through polls which predicted that Hillary would win in overwhelming landslides.
Pardon me while I throw and call the “BS Flag!” And wait patiently on the sidelines.
The Republicans cannot afford to be complacent about the next general election.
Yeah, but special elections are strange, especially after a big presidential election. Our side likes to think they “did that already” and tend not to come out. The haters, on the other hand, always come out.
For now, not worried. But we need candidates. No more Moores.
Let me think...How did these propaganda-crap outlets do in Sept, Oct, and Nov 2016 with their pseudo-intellectual blathering?
Democrats have been waging a stealth court battle against gerrymandering. They were fine with it for 210 years.
Until Republicans got good at it.
I’ll ask a fortune teller. I think I might get more correct info from them than the Times...
You are deluded
Trump could give Amnesty to all 40 million here + their relatives back home and make Spanish the official language and even then maybe only 1 or 2% would vote for him or any other Republican. Wake up.
Wonderful to hear.
Too far out to make any meaningful predictions. This could be a 2010, or a 2006.
Any idea how the redistricting is going to affect PA races?
I saw a draft of the new map and I know it’s a lot less gerrymandering than the current jigsaw puzzle.
The R map was rejected by the courts, but I heard it was pretty much redrawn with same R advantages in latest version.
Pure, unadulterated propaganda from the liberal media.
JoMa
Once again the NYT tries to shore up their base.
Another day, another 5 articles critical of Trump and the GOP in the NYT. What else is new?
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