What a terribly Rosy and naive analysis considering today’s election. You are really fail to take into account that Republicans do not want to hold on to the house or Senate. They want Trump’s ideas to die a slow death and they’ll also want him impeached and they don’t want to have to be the majority to vote on that
Nothing Rosie about it. It is simple fact.
The Democrats can not launch an effective front on enough vulnerable Republican seats as there are almost no vulnerable Republican seats this cycle. At least not in the Senate. There are however, close to a dozen vulnerable Democrat seats in this cycle. 34 are up for reelection in the senate, of which 23 are held by Democrats. @ by Independents that caucus with Democrats and a special election to replace: Al Franken.
10 of the seats the Democrats must protect are in states that Trump won. Many by double digits. Even more are in states run almost exclusively by Republicans. Republicans who have been quickly and studiously purging the Dead and fake voters from the voting rolls. Oh Boy no dead voters for the Democrats.
At least 10 Democrat seats are very vulnerable with highly proficient candidates and strong GOTV efforts and fully funded candidates.
Possible Democrat Pick ups: 0-2
Possible Republican pick ups: 10-12
Likely Democrat pickups: 0
Likely Republican pick ups: 4
The following Democrats are in serious trouble.
1) Sherrod Brown Ohio Loser
2) Joe Donnelly Indiana Loser
3) Heidi Heitkamp North Dakota Loser
4) Joe Manchin West Virginia Party change or new career
5) John Tester Montana Loser
6) Bob Casey, PA has his fake Conservative Democrat crap run its’ course? Maybe so.
7) Dean Heller, NV Leen victory
8) Tammy Baldwin, WI If Kleefisch runs she might unseat this one.
9) Claire McCaskill, MO She won’t get the benefit of running against Todd Aiken this time.
10) Bill Nelson, FL: I thought he was dead! Not yet, but there is still hope. Rick Scott may want to be a senator. Or Nelson could die.
So where am I wrong?
This isn’t looney Roy Moore running in every state with Pedophile wrapped around his neck. The Democrats have known for months that they have no hope of picking up the Senate. More importantly their donors know. That is why they don’t have any money.
As for the House. Not enough seats change hands in off year elections to give the Dems even much of a chance to pick up enough seats t control the House.
If the tax bill goes through add trying to run against a group that has given the American people its’ first half of 5% growth in almost 2 decades.
Why do you think they are pushing so hard to kill the tax cuts? Why do you think the Republicans like Rubio are pushing for higher Child Tax Credits? They know they will get them and they know what that is going to do to the economy.
Unless they come up with something better than Russia Russia Russia or Donny’s locker room talk and a bunch of used up street walkers talking about how he looked at them funny or felt them up in first class five decades ago. You can rest assured that We keep the House and gain in the Senate.