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Nate Silver: Trump’s Strong Support Base is Eroding
Mediaite ^ | 05-31-17 | Aidan McLaughlin

Posted on 05/31/2017 12:11:36 PM PDT by Angels27

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To: Angels27

Haha. Nate Silver. As accurate as a Swiss clock. Begone, fool...


61 posted on 05/31/2017 1:40:01 PM PDT by ez ("Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is." - Milton)
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To: Angels27

He writes for his audience. He ain’t gonna say Trump as strong as ever.


62 posted on 05/31/2017 1:48:29 PM PDT by xp38
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To: rfp1234
"Silver is tarnishing. He should change jobs and start polishing turds."

"Polishing Turds" is what he did all through 2016. His shiny turd lost.

63 posted on 05/31/2017 1:48:37 PM PDT by Godebert (CRUZ: Born in a foreign land to a foreign father.)
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To: Angels27

Nate:
Youaresoright. Whereuhsceered...

Current raising is an acknowledgment of the math for 2018, 2020, etc.

25 Dem seats up for grabs, 11 of which are very vulnerable.

Compared to 8 Republican seats and only 2 vulnerable.

That is a math problem even Pythagorean can’t resolve in your favor.

There is no mathematical way for Dems to reach a majority of anything and that is before we discuss probabilities, because possibility would be a stupid discussion.

Now, when the economy starts to roar, Trump will have seated at least one more SCOTUS AND 150 Federal Judges, gets some more of his initiative promises passed, illegal immigration continues to shrink then Republicans will be buoyed to vote in larger numbers.

And that is just for 2018.

I expect Trump to start using the bully pulpit and call the American people to action and press the house to act boldly.

Once we increase our numbers in 2018 we will have even greater control of legislation, another 100-150 Federal Judgeships will be seated and the deep state bureaucracy will be cleansed further.

Look for a landslide 2020 in Trumps favor and with an even greater representation it will then be time for redistricting, which improves our voting edge in 2022 and 2024.

The Dems should be screwed for the next decade but, I am never amazed at the RNC ability to snatch defeat from exhilarating victory.

Let’s review the outlook for 2020:

2-3 more SCOTUS replaced
300+ Federal Judges seated(maybe the 9th circuit is re-org’d)
Republicans will increase their numbers by possibly filibuster proof margins.
The economy couod very well be humming along at 3% or better, which may be possible from a man who thinks big, believes Americans deserve to win, be himself loves to win, doesn’t set low expectations and effin won’t apologize for being amazing(contrast that with the last pinhead, who was mediocre at best).
Trump has surrounded himself with “Dollar a Year Men”. These are men who have no use for excuses and have built great companies. Like Trump they believe in America, they know how to get there efficiently and they make no excuses for failure.
ObamaCare is freakin toast before we fix it.
The fence will be built, which is better for America and Mexico, because we can then create policy making it easier to immigrate and Why The Hell can’t they hit the H1-B visa lottery?

Mexicans can do the jobs Indians and Chinese do.

We are going to fix tax policy as well and bring back boat loads of offshore cash via a virtual WWII armada.

The EPA will be re-org’d and the best part? A huge RIF. then those former givernment types can pursue art or take lengthy vacations(Nancy Pelosi says “You’re Welcome”)

The entire Obama administration “achievements” will be reversed, erased and scrubbed.

Trump’s administration in fact, will go Pharoah with prejudice “Let his name be stricken from ....and never spoken again”

It may very well be some of George Bush’s and the idiot congress at the time errors will be corrected.

So, you say we’re scared?

Of what? We have General John Mattis on our side. Apparently his way to relax is thinking up ways to keep oir enemies awake at night wondering what we will do to them.

And the Obama era of containment and pushing these stoneage murderers is over. That is...It is over.

We are done gniKcuF around. Now we are surrounding them and going Medieval, with the intention of killing them so they can’t go home and relax then returning to their loser battle.

Mattis is going Book of Revolution on these Losers and the End Times are here for them.

BTW, I heard recently our President called them Losers.

That can’t be good.

I mean, no one wants to play for the Losing team all the time.

You’ll just look like a Loser and eventually you will be believe you aren’t just a Loser but, your cause is a Losing battle.

They will eventually Lose interest in Loosing and like a Loser they will throw in the towel

Trumps base is eroding?

Thnx Nate. Yer the best and your predictions on election night , right up until 9pm, were so inspiring.

I’ll get around to misting the other reasons we feel dejected but, this list is a pretty good start.


64 posted on 05/31/2017 1:53:37 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Reno89519

65 posted on 05/31/2017 1:56:06 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Savage Beast

“No, we’re more committed than ever!”

Same here.


66 posted on 05/31/2017 2:09:03 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Angels27

According to Rasmussen, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_may31 Trump’s support has not changed in two months.

Also, Nate Silver is a statistician. He should give probabilities:
“I can say with 95% confidence that even Trump’s core supporters are abandoning him . . . coincidentally the same confidence I had that Hillary would win on Election Day.”


67 posted on 05/31/2017 2:13:12 PM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: Angels27

If he goes with Coen and Ivanka on Paris Climate accord.

and flops in other directions against his campaign promises, then I believe it would slip.

Hope not. Dance with them who brung you Donald.


68 posted on 05/31/2017 2:18:03 PM PDT by shalom aleichem
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To: Angels27

Nate Tin? He’s as valuable as tinfoil...:-)


69 posted on 05/31/2017 2:24:34 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable Family...even the dog is DEPLORABLE :-))
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To: shalom aleichem

Yes, I can’t imagine that could be rationalized away.


70 posted on 05/31/2017 2:28:32 PM PDT by WHBates
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To: Angels27

Silver had Trump winning the White House at 10%, the last week
of the election.

More fake news and polls. Nothing more.


71 posted on 05/31/2017 2:37:15 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: Angels27

The more I see of president Trump’s enemies, the more I like him.

Put that in your 538 and smoke it.

5.56mm


72 posted on 05/31/2017 2:49:45 PM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: Angels27

Shitlerey’s ghoul can bite me! ...


73 posted on 05/31/2017 3:15:36 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FREEP U, Schmucky O'Putz!)
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To: Angels27

Yes natie and now he has only a 6 percent chance of beating Hillary oops never mind.


74 posted on 05/31/2017 4:23:13 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Angels27

Help, I’m eroding...do I look eroded to you?
These folks believe their own hype.


75 posted on 05/31/2017 4:25:03 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: Parley Baer

Especially after witnessing the reckless insanity of his opposition.


76 posted on 06/01/2017 5:23:39 AM PDT by Savage Beast (MegaMAGA!)
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