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To: stylin19a
back in the mid 80’s, we had a storm with flooding nobody had seen before..so the MSM called it a once in a lifetime event, hence, a hundred year flood.

The next year, we had a flood that was worse...

Oh I remember that one. I was in it in Novato, California. Only time in my life I've been in a minor flood. I had to open the side door, as well as the garage door itself to reduce the amount actually trying go through the house.
Had a few neighbors patrolling the street in canoes and row boats.
Found one of my plastic bins around 60# full of iron and steel tools across the street the following day.

That's as close as I ever want to be to a real flood.

31 posted on 02/21/2017 11:06:30 AM PST by publius911 (I SUPPORT MY PRESIDENT!!!)
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To: publius911
back in the mid 80’s, we had a storm with flooding nobody had seen before..so the MSM called it a once in a lifetime event, hence, a hundred year flood.
The next year, we had a flood that was worse...

Most regular people have no clue about statistical statements which can't remain static. Earthquakes, volcanoes and floods never have a regular schedule.

For example, if a flood occurs every 200 years exactly the "recurrence interval" is 200 years.

If a similar flood occurs once, then not again for 700 years, but four years in a row, the "recurrence interval" becomes also 200 years.
So saying "another one is now due" becomes meaningless.

35 posted on 02/21/2017 11:18:47 AM PST by publius911 (I SUPPORT MY PRESIDENT!!!)
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