My bellweather is NJ ( polls Close at 2000
if DJT gets 47-49% in NJ then figure 300+ EVs for our team
DJT under 44% in NJ, then Crooked wins it all
I live in NJ, and am unsure as to what results here would indicate. Trump hasn’t campaigned here, and many of the Americans have left. While Christie won here twice, I doubt he’d win here now; the newer imports are now outvoting the established imports that were more conservative because they pay property taxes.
Depends on what % third party gets.
My guess is minimum 291 EVs. Maybe up to 326.