Map 1 doesn't have Michigan going to Trump. Keep in mind that both Sanders and Trump won the primaries there. I'd think any state where that happened has a lot of folks who aren't eager to stay with the status quo.
Michigan isn't going to Trump.
Keep in mind that both Sanders and Trump won the primaries there.
Trump and Sanders won in Oregon, Washington, Maine and Vermont, too. That doesn't mean Trump is going to take any of those states.
If Trump is able to flip Michigan, that cinches the election.
I’m assuming Trump wins FL, OH, IA and NC.
Give Trump Michigan and he can lose in Nevada, Colorado, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia and *still* take the presidency.
This is also true if Trump wins Pennsylvania or Virginia but I am becoming less hopeful of either one.