Okay, what do y'all...
think?
1 posted on
11/07/2016 8:54:38 AM PST by
Bender2
To: big'ol_freeper; Impy; SevenofNine; Cletus.D.Yokel; Rummyfan; Liberty Valance; Perdogg; ...
2 posted on
11/07/2016 8:55:32 AM PST by
Bender2
("I've got a twisted sense of humor, and everything amuses me." RAH Beyond this Horizon)
To: Bender2
I don’t see a win in Colorado. Just my take. NH and NV look very shaky too. I think Trump ultimately wins Nevada. NH is a tough state to poll but there is a brand new WMUR poll that has Clinton way out in front. We’ll see. I definitely don’t see a win in Colorado.
3 posted on
11/07/2016 8:58:37 AM PST by
Reagan79
(Today, I consider myself the wisest Latina Woman on the face of the earth.)
To: Bender2
The third map is the same as my current prediction. That being said, the last week of internal data in the IBD poll suggests that a regional landslide may be developing for Trump in the midwest, too.
4 posted on
11/07/2016 9:00:38 AM PST by
VOR78
To: Bender2
Your first map matches my prediction assuming Trump wins.
5 posted on
11/07/2016 9:02:57 AM PST by
JamesP81
To: Bender2
RCP just moved New Mexico into the toss-up category, after a massive 8k likely voter poll showed Trump within 2 points - 46%-44%. It appears that Johnson voters are turning to Trump. Johnson sill gets 6%, so there might still be enough there - in 2012 Johnson got 3.5% in New Mexico. This year, with Trump being competitive, it might be possible to steal even more from Johnson.
So, now the Nevada+New Hampshire scenario, becomes a 2 of 3, Nevada/New Hampshire/New Mexico.
I believe the main reason Trump is competitive in NM, is the same reason he will likely win Nevada, Hispanics here legally, do not want to compete with those here illegally. I think it's possible that NM swings hard towards Trump tomorrow, and they get him to 270 without New Hampshire, or Maine cd2.
7 posted on
11/07/2016 9:12:20 AM PST by
MMaschin
(The difference between strategy and tactics!)
To: Bender2
Map 1 is the most likely.
To: Bender2
It's down to just a few states. I have Trump at 259 (I have him winning all Romney states + FL, OH and IA. VA, MI, PA, NH, NM, NV, CO and ME CD2 are very close tossups.
13 posted on
11/07/2016 9:55:03 AM PST by
Angels27
To: Bender2
Any one of those paths works.
I suspect that you may see an unusually high number of states changing color this year. It’s remarkable how many are in play.
But more blue states seem to be in play than red ones, which has to be encouraging for Trump.
14 posted on
11/07/2016 9:55:03 AM PST by
TBP
(0bama lies, Granny dies.)
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