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Democrats Early Voting Lead May Not Hold
Usnews.com ^ | 25 Oct 2016 | Susan Milligan

Posted on 10/25/2016 6:22:33 PM PDT by 11th_VA

More Democrats are casting their ballots early but the lead may not hold.

The Democrats' early lead in early voting in battleground states is a strong indication that Hillary Clinton will become the nation's 45th president. Unless it isn't.

Early voting has begun in 37 states and the District of Columbia (three of those states have an all-mail election) and tabulations so far show that there are more ballots delivered or returned by registered Democrats than Republicans in key states. That's good news for the Clinton campaign, but not necessary definitive, experts say, since the early numbers are as much an indicator of the kind of person who votes early, as opposed to how much statewide support each contender has.

In North Carolina, for example, Republicans started out with an early advantage with the mail-in vote. That's not surprising, election experts say, since Republican early voters are more likely than their Democratic counterparts to mail it in, instead of showing up at a polling place with an early ballot in hand. Once in-person early voting started last Thursday, Democrats took a commanding lead, jumping to a 14 percentage-point lead over Republicans, according to an analysis by University of Florida professor Michael McDonald, who heads the United States Election Project.

That sounds like an optimistic turn for Democrats – until one looks at the 2012 numbers, when Democrats out-numbered Republicans strongly in early voting but the Tar Heel State went to GOP nominee Mitt Romney anyway.

(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...


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1 posted on 10/25/2016 6:22:33 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

We’re told its a D +6 to D +9 electorate.

Early voting numbers already indicate its far from 2012.

Polls are way off.


2 posted on 10/25/2016 6:25:00 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 11th_VA

Early voting is when it’s easiest for them to cheat.


3 posted on 10/25/2016 6:25:21 PM PDT by digger48 (Deplorables Unite)
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To: 11th_VA
More propaganda and disinformation. Goebbels and the USSR all in one, right here in the good ol’ USA!
4 posted on 10/25/2016 6:26:30 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: digger48

Fewer Democrats are turning out than in 2012.

The levels of enthusiasm that won the race twice for Obama aren’t in evidence yet.


5 posted on 10/25/2016 6:27:55 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: digger48

Commit the votes now as insurance against a truly awful revelation.


6 posted on 10/25/2016 6:29:25 PM PDT by CMB_polarization
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To: Fungi

If the electorate is D +6, it should be all over the news.

Ds should be surging enmasse to the polls to make Hlllary the 45th President.


7 posted on 10/25/2016 6:29:50 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: CMB_polarization

Or a terrorist attack.


8 posted on 10/25/2016 6:31:16 PM PDT by 4Liberty (DEMOCRATS- Exporting Jobs, Importing Votes.)
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To: 11th_VA

The presshole backpedalling and dissembling begins.


9 posted on 10/25/2016 6:32:13 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (Fear is the mind killer.)
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To: goldstategop
A Monmouth University poll released Tuesday, for example, shows Clinton ahead of Republican Donald Trump by 10 points in Arizona among early voters – but down a point among voters overall.
10 posted on 10/25/2016 6:32:30 PM PDT by 11th_VA (#boycottNFL)
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To: goldstategop

Yeah, and how many of them are voting for Trump? LOL


11 posted on 10/25/2016 6:33:22 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (Fear is the mind killer.)
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To: 11th_VA

Kitty litter box filler material.

Monmouth is laughable - Hillary has a 10 point advantage in a state with an R +5 registration?

Hillary isn’t going to win AZ.


12 posted on 10/25/2016 6:35:21 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: headstamp 2

They lie.

About everything - about their rigged polls, their candidate’s popularity and early vote stats.

You can’t believe anything they tell you to be the truth.


13 posted on 10/25/2016 6:40:10 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 11th_VA

People who vote early tend to be regular voters, not the new voters that Trump woke up. They will vote when election day comes unless they have a hunting trip planned.


14 posted on 10/25/2016 6:46:15 PM PDT by dgbrown
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To: goldstategop

The fact that Hillary has to get Jay-Z to do a Get out the Vote concert to get blacks to the polls isn’t a good sign for her.


15 posted on 10/25/2016 6:57:40 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: dowcaet

Mitt had Kid Rock.

Guess who people really turned out to see.


16 posted on 10/25/2016 7:01:06 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 11th_VA

17 posted on 10/25/2016 7:01:10 PM PDT by eaglestar
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To: eaglestar

When was that pic taken?


18 posted on 10/25/2016 7:05:58 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: goldstategop

Yup. Forgot about that. I just think if Hillary has to work this hard and late in the campaign to get black voters to the polls indicates a big problem for her!


19 posted on 10/25/2016 7:13:07 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: 11th_VA

I object to early voting and mail in unless absolutely needed. If you are too lazy to go vote on election day you shouldn’t vote.

And the 3 that have all mail in are dem states. There is too much opportunity for fraud
z


20 posted on 10/25/2016 8:01:40 PM PDT by reaganaut (I'm looking forward to Trump as President. I'm an Evangelical and I vote.)
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