Poll: Trump leads Clinton by 15 in Utah

The Hill ^ | 8/23/2016 | Mark Hensch

[LS]

FWIW, Minion won Utah by 47%, Bush won in 04 by 46%.
So Trump can be doing a lot, lot better there, though if he only wins by 1 it won’t make any difference.

[hal ogen]

Only by 15??? I didn’t realize that there so many complete idiots in UT.

[orchestra]

Yeah, looks like the bishop is making some inroads-

[Vigilanteman]

Hillary will be lucky to crack 25% and do better than a third place finish. An informal survey of my Mormon friends shows that about 80% of them now think Mitt is a Putz and would like to take their votes back.

I'm not sure how this applies to the whole demographic, but I'll bet it isn't that far off.

[Zack Attack]

“Previously safe GOP states are in play”

Notice, no mention of previously safe Dimmy states.

[ealgeone]

No want CT goes for Trump. Main might be a stretch also.

The others are in play though.

[wbill]

Whatever. They'll be tossing snowballs in hell before Johnson and McMullin get 12% and 9% of the vote, respectively. That's more than 1 in 5 voters, not including the Green Party, Communists, and so on. Not gonna happen.

The third party candidates will get their usual. Maybe it will go as high as 4-6% in total, because of the general voter disaffection. But it won't be higher than that.

"I'm really mad at Hillary (or Trump), so I'm going to wait in line for an hour at my polling place to cast a meaningless vote for a third party candidate!!!" Yeah, right. These people won't even bother to show up.

[wbill]

Roger that on Maine. Unless it works out to be a split - they can divide their electoral votes 3 - 1.

Could see that happening. Northern Maine is politically very different from Southern Maine. The North contains mostly natives, the South, mostly back-to-nature liberals from Boston, MA, NY, NJ, and so on.