Georgia Runoff Third District 7/26/2016 Results Thread

Self | 7/26/2016 | Self

[Dr. Sivana]

Georgia Runoff Third District 7/26/2016 Results Thread

Mike Crane versus Drew Ferguson for the Boehner ally Lynn Westmoreland seat (Georgia 3rd).

Anyone know a good place to get an up to date count?

[Dr. Sivana]

Georgia Runoff Third District 7/26/2016 Results Thread

Mike Crane versus Drew Ferguson for the Boehner ally Lynn Westmoreland seat (Georgia 3rd).

Anyone know a good place to get an up to date count?

[Robert A Cook PE]

I have heard nothing - even from WSB (Atlanta) - EXCEPT endless “Hillary wins nomination” propaganda (er, press releases) soundbites.

[Robert A Cook PE]

Nothing about Cobb County runoff against Mike Lee either.

[georgiarat]

This should do it.

http://sos.ga.gov/

[jafojeffsurf]

Try this: http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/62848/173846/en/summary.html

[Whenifhow]

Sec of state - Georgia

http://sos.ga.gov/

http://sos.ga.gov/index.php/elections/federal_and_state_runoff_candidates

Also try websites of local tv news stations

[Dr. Sivana]

Thanks all!

U.S. Representative, District 3 - REP
CONTEST DETAIL Vote type summary

5 of 13 Counties Reporting
Percent Votes
MIKE CRANE....................46.30% 16,350
DREW FERGUSON...........53.70% 18,962
35,312

[Dr. Sivana]

Unfortunately, it looks like Ferguson, the Chamber of Commerce candidate endorsed by Boehner buddy Lynn Westmoreland wins.

[spintreebob]

13 of 13 Counties Reporting
. . . . . . . Percent Votes
MIKE CRANE..........46.07% 19,490 Cruz-Trump candidate
DREW FERGUSON 53.93% 22,813 Paul Ryan-Boehner-CoC
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42,303

May 24, 2016 results were
26.9% 15,584 Mike Crane
26.8% 15,491 Drew Ferguson
23.0% 13,312 Jim Pace . . .
09.9% . . 5,728 Chip Flanegan .
09.1% . . 5,285 Richard Mix. .
02.9% . . 1,657 Samuel Anders .
01.4% . . . 812 Arnall Thomas .
Total . . 57,869

In the March 1 SEC Primary in the 13 counties of the 3rd District,
Trump ran 1st ranging from 37% to 56% per county.
Cruz ran 2nd ranging from 21% to 29% per county.
Rubio ran 3rd ranging from 10% to 23% per county.

Conclusion: Crane did not get the Trump/Cruz vote to turn out and vote this election.

Nationally Cruz claimed a ground game. If he had had a ground game, not only would that ground game have made him #1 in this far right district, that effective ground game would still exist to win for Congress. Cruz had over 1500 small donors in this district. Thousands were at Cruz event in the district I was at. The Cruz campaign could have, but did not, enlist them in a ground game.

Don’t take November for granted. If you want to win, find out who your voters are now and get them to vote in October-November. I say October because an effective ground game will produce 20-50 votes per day per precinct in early voting. The ground game can be more effective on the final day of voting when it knows who already voted and can avoid wasting time on them.

[spintreebob]

GA 3rd District SW Suburbs of Atlanta to Columbus election results could teach us a lesson.

[Dr. Sivana]

I’m in the district, and received the push poll phone calls. I was also at the Cruz/Crane rally last Friday. There were about 600 people in the room.

I believe that Ferguson won because of a frequent and effective advertising from both his self-funded campaign and the Chanmber of Commerce’s $1 million dollar buy in. Crane’s own positive ads were fine, but I believe the Club for Growth’s cookie cutter generic attack ads were unhelpful, if not actually counterproductive.

Part of the problem was timing. The first ads from Ferguson attacking Crane characterized Crane’s pro Fourth and Second Amendment positions, portraying him as someone in favor of shooting cops, the SAME DAY of the Dallas shooting. Great timing for Ferguson. While Cruz is well received in the district, Trump won big in the primary, and Cruz’ campaigning for Crane two days after the convention when even a lot who like Cruz were at least disappointed with his speech at the convention, was again unavoidable bad timing.

One reason why I believe the advertising got a lot of low-information voters out was because in my county, Muscogee, we were mostly for Crane, and Ferguson had no ground game, not even signs, while we did. Ferguson won big (2-1). Even though the third district only covers the northern end of Columbus, Ferguson had the resources to buy into the columbus stations just to get that corner (and probably Harris County, where he also won big.)

The Ferguson ads were often self contradictory (”We need fresh blood . . . we need an outsider . . . Endorsed by Lynn Westmoreland”) and plainly untrue (”Crane is a career politician”, Crane was and IS a contractor, and didn’t hold office until 2010. Crane is in his 50s.)

Interesting side note: When I saw Cruz atthe Crane rally, Cruz stated that “Vote Freedom. If Republicans hold on to and promote Freedom, we will keep the House, keep the Senate, and defeat Hillary Clinton and the Democrats for the White House”. No he didn’t say “Vote Trump”, but he did say the Republicans (which mean Trump) should beat Hillary for the presidency. That got him his loudest cheers from the room.

[Dr. Sivana]

I should also note that all four of the defeated candidates endorsed Ferguson.

[spintreebob]

We (FReepers, Conservatives, libertarians, ant-establishment types) take the short range view.

I was at the Newnan(Coweta) Cruz rally after Red State where Erikson dumped Trump. There were over 2,000 there at one time with people coming and going it was probably 3 or 4,000 total. And 99% were clearly Cruz fans.

The Cruz campaign staff was clearly JV. They had Cruz standing in the hot sun to speak when he clearly should have been in the shade of the tall trees.

But most importantly, the Cruz staff did not have voter walk-lists handy, nor palmcards to give to volunteers. The biggest mistake of any campaign is to have dedicated volunteers show up and give them nothing to do.

Cruz Staff repeated that when Rafael Cruz spoke to Hispanic Patriots. My daughter got 200 to show up. There were many paid Cruz staff there. But they gave us nothing to do.

The candidate cannot do it alone. Only us volunteers talking with our neighbors can bypass the media that Cruz does not have.

And in this case, Crane also did not have the media, certainly not the Atlanta media, nor the local newspapers I read online.

[Dr. Sivana]

People who signed up with the Cruz campaign at our Columbus get together were provided follow up contacts and call lists spat out by a smartphone app automated the phone calling. Those of us who were on the Crane campaign also had walk lists generated by the same app, and we had about four Crane volunteers (opposite end of the district, and only part of Columbus is included) going door-to-door on Saturday mornings. We also had sign holding at a busy part of Veteran’s Parkway on Saturday mornings, afternoons, and rush hours on selected weekdays for both Cruz and Crane. Of course our ground game could have been better, but it was more visible than Trump’s, Rubio’s or Carson’s.