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To: CA Conservative

That’s way too small of a sample size to be reliable on the CD level.

30-36 delegates for the winner in WI is reasonable though.

7 and 8 should be Trumps’ best districts.
2 is Milwaukee and could favor Trump or Kasich
3 is the other likely tossup.

Cruz should be ahead in 4 and 5 and with a five-point lead ahead in 1 and 6.


152 posted on 04/03/2016 10:05:50 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: CA Conservative

Interestingly enough, the survey had Trump ahead in CD3. Cruz ahead in everything other than CD2 and 4, which were tossups.

That doesn’t jive with the Marquette Survey that had CD 8 (NW Wisconsin) as Trump’s best district in the state or the Optimus data that had Trump with a strong showing in 7.

All probably because of the MOE for such a small sub-sample. The Optimus numbers, however were big enough to be statistically significant.


157 posted on 04/03/2016 10:11:38 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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