Now, they're looking at other ways to measure public opinion, gage voter turnout, etc. And they haven't gotten that nailed down. Not by a long shot.
He cited recent KY governor's race, Israeli election, Brit election... several others where polling is off from results sometimes by 10 percent or more.
Essentially, the margins of error are far larger than what is published.
Essentially, the margins of error are far larger than what is published.
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Agree. Many of polls only have from 400-1000 responders. If the poll is random, there may be only a handful of people from each of various States scattered across the country.
The pollsters then try to extrapolate that and claim the results to be representative of “all” Americans on any given subject. BS!