Posted on 04/12/2015 4:38:42 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe
Months of declining cases have fed hopes that the Ebola outbreak might finally be ending. In February, Dr. David Nabarro, the United Nation’s special envoy on the Ebola crisis, told the General Assembly, “There are now 10 times fewer people diagnosed with Ebola each week than there were in September last year.”
The number of new cases fell rapidly in December and January, but started rising again in March. A total of 150 new cases were reported in the week ending March 15, the highest in 2015. Officials with the United Nations and the World Health Organization have cautioned that ending the outbreak entirely would be extremely difficult.
“The outbreak still presents a grave threat,” Dr. Nabarro said. “We have to really work hard to get to what we call zero-zero — zero cases, zero transmissions.”
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread
We will pat ourselves on the back that we have “whipped” Ebola.
Then it will be back with a vengeance.
Entirely possible. New cases have surfaced because the virus endures in the semen of those who have recovered, long after they are 'well' (60+ days).
We are forced to rely on such statistics as are made available, too, and with aid funding and supplies declining, there remains strong economic incentive to be proclaimed Ebola-free.
sure, occasionally they'll be outliers but mostly this is a disease of Africa and its people...
The 'X times less' bit has been going on about a year now, when they could just express their intended reduction as a percentage of the previous number or a simple fraction of a previous value. With a mathematically dumbed-down population, who's to know, beside those of us who work with numbers every day?
I don’t remember the formulae from high school long long ago but I understand English pretty well and am aware of the meanings of words. Hell, I read myself to sleep at night for several years with an extensive etymological dictionary. It was extensive in that the entries were long and comprehensive for 3000 words.
Oh that can’t be possible. I was assured by some here at FR that it would be running rampant by March right here in the US
Thanks for the ping!
Many people may be in the bush who have not been reported as having Ebola. We may not know the true statistics of this disease. Who knows whether it has been cured or if the disease is changing to some other form. A new form of Ebola may start the scare all over again.
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