Posted on 03/04/2015 7:40:40 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Another day, another missed data point. ADP Employment data shows 212k jobs added in February, which modestly missed expectations of 219k and is the weakest monthly gain in 6 months. This despite a strong prior revision, pushing the January number up from 213K to 250K to catch up to the BLS runrate. Despite the miss, that showed large businesses adding by far the fewest jobs, Mark Zandi as usual remains optimistic: "jobs growth is strong but slowing," and expects the economy "will return to full employment by mid-2016."
Another miss...
The breakdown:
More irrelevant, goalseeked charts:
Change in Nonfarm Private Employment
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment by Company Size
Change in Total Nonfarm Private Employment by Selected Industry
Zandi explains:
"While Februarys job gains came in slightly lower than recent months, the trend of solid growth above 200,000 jobs per month continued, said Carlos Rodriguez, president and chief executive officer of ADP. What is also encouraging is that job gains are broad-based across all key industries.
Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moodys Analytics, said, Job growth is strong, but slowing from the torrid pace of recent months. Job gains remain broad-based, although the collapse in oil prices has begun to weigh on energy-related employment. At the current pace of growth, the economy will return to full employment by mid-2016.
Finally, the truly value-added ADP infographic:
Meanwhile, the 90% data miss rate since Feb continues.
In all the time the Current Occupant has been squatting in the White Hut, there never has been “jobs growth”, only a rejiggering of the numbers. Actual numbers of persons gainfully employed in a viable job slot (i.e., not at a “make-work” or part-time or less) have DECLINED both as a percentage of the total population and in actual numbers. Only by massive transfers of wealth from those still working for a living (either as self-employed or actively participating members of the working world), has this country not lapsed into an even deeper depression than that which held the larger part of the world in its grip in 1932 to 1940
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.