Posted on 10/09/2014 1:23:20 PM PDT by fruser1
Hi folks, just ran some math with Ebola numbers.
According to WHO, there were 3053 cases back in 25 Aug and 8033 cases in 5 October.
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/
This gives an average daily increase of 3.9806%.
At that rate, given a world population of 7.125 billion, EVERYONE will be infected in 349 days.
Have a nice day!
Well, at least God kept his promise not to drown us all again.
I have seen some here who are cold serious in predicting up to 75% of the world’s population dead by next December.
139 million dead Americans in the next 18 months.
That it is an Obama plot to kill 50 million Americans, and on and on.
Freepers that are entirely serious.
WE’RE DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!!!!!!!!
This is like being around in the 14th century watching daily news reports as the Black Death moved from the Middle East to southern Europe to eventually kill off entire towns and villages, perhaps a third of the entire population of the continent. Not sure which is worse. Not knowing it’s coming or being reminded every day.
Our redemption draws neigh...
If true, there will be allot of good fishing for the survivors.
Cute game with the numbers, but I hope no one takes it seriously.
The real numbers are likely to be unfortunate, but not several billion. I will, however, be surprised if it tops out under one million, and it could be quite a bit bigger. No one can make a valid forecast of where it tops out because the growth is (as confirmed by data and CDC analysis) still exponential - meaning that whatever level it will top out at, conditions remaining unchanged, it is nowhere near that level now.
God has a lot of interesting things in store for us. One is the 4th Horseman, and I’m hoping the Pale Rider is not on his way already.
“I’ve read the Bible... God has more interesting things in store for humanity than just Ebola and from the looks of things, He’s just getting started...”
Read my tag line.
So, can I have your stuff, since you won’t be needing it?
Real estate prices should finally come down to a reasonable level.
The usage of the RATE function is:
RATE(nper, pmt, pv, fv)
There are 41 days between 8/28/14 and 10/5/14, and we won't be making any "payments". The "present value" is the number of cases on the first day of the period in question, and the "future value" is the number of cases on the last day of the period. It is expressed as a negative. So putting in your values we have:
RATE(41, 0, 3053, -8033), which gives a daily percentage increase of 2.3877%.
So to get to 7.125 billion, it will actually take 580 days, 10 hours, and 1 minute.
So either way, at the current rate, we will all be infected in less than 2 years. Nice!
It is a little a tiny bit different, in that hardly anyone has died.
Are you going to Boulder or Las Vegas?
Seriously, though, extrapolating numbers from a S**thole like Liberia onto the rest of the world is not good methodology. Nations are going to really get serious about their isolation policies well before this happens.
Real estate prices should finally come down to a reasonable level.
_______________________________
Yeah. The price will be the window you break to take over the house you want. And hopefully the bodies wont be too stinky. Get them out before the rainy season. They might attract flies.
Actually it is the point to a silly comparison.
You are comparing almost 40 years of outbreaks and about 7 or 8 thousand deaths to “”This is like being around in the 14th century watching daily news reports as the Black Death moved from the Middle East to southern Europe to eventually kill off entire towns and villages, perhaps a third of the entire population of the continent.””
Perhaps you mean AIDs, which in 33 years has killed 36 million and is killing people at the rate about 4500, a day.
Don’t forget the martial law part. LOL!
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